PEC Zwolle x AZ Betting tips for September 20 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for PEC Zwolle x AZ, Friday, 20/9/2024

📅 20/9/2024 15:00

PEC Zwolle 6.75

X 4.75

AZ 1.43

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PEC Zwolle x AZ:

🔮 AZ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $715.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for PEC Zwolle x AZ: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PEC Zwolle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-138.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $179.0. 👉 AZ did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, PEC Zwolle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 PEC Zwolle matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, PEC Zwolle conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against AZ. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, AZ has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from PEC Zwolle x AZ for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 20 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PEC Zwolle and AZ.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184054 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle x AZ

Is it a good idea to bet on PEC Zwolle?

🔵 PEC Zwolle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 50 times – profiting $287.50;
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$662.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $450.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is it worth betting on AZ?

🔴 AZ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 830 times – profiting $356.90;
• And would have lost other 170 times – with a loss of -$170.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$186.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match PEC Zwolle x AZ

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 PEC Zwolle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle x AZ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 PEC Zwolle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 PEC Zwolle.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PEC Zwolle x AZ

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.