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Home ยป Predictions ยป Eredivisie ยป PEC Zwolle x Heracles Betting tips for September 1 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 01 September 2024, 09h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
PREDICTION PEC Zwolle wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Heracles Heracles
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

PEC Zwolle x Heracles Betting tips for September 1 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for PEC Zwolle x Heracles, Sunday, 1/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/9/2024
09:30
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
2.00
X
3.72
Heracles Heracles
3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PEC Zwolle x Heracles:

๐Ÿ”ฎ PEC Zwolle wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PEC Zwolle, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for PEC Zwolle x Heracles:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PEC Zwolle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Heracles in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Heracles did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, PEC Zwolle scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Heracles, PEC Zwolle scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Heracles matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 PEC Zwolle matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ PEC Zwolle has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Heracles playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from PEC Zwolle x Heracles for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 1 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ PEC Zwolle X Heracles – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 1 of September, 2024 – 09:30
๐Ÿ”ต PEC Zwolle – Winning probability: 55.67% | Fair line: 1.8
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.89% | Fair line: 4.37
๐Ÿ”ด Heracles – Winning probability: 21.44% | Fair line: 4.66
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 PEC Zwolle
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PEC Zwolle and Heracles.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1171332 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle x Heracles

Should you bet on PEC Zwolle?

๐Ÿ”ต PEC Zwolle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $560.00;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$120.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $625.60;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$144.40.

Is it worth betting on Heracles?

๐Ÿ”ด Heracles: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$265.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PEC Zwolle x Heracles

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 PEC Zwolle
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle x Heracles

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 PEC Zwolle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 PEC Zwolle.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 PEC Zwolle.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PEC Zwolle x Heracles

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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