PEC Zwolle x NAC Betting tips for October 20 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for PEC Zwolle x NAC, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 14:45

PEC Zwolle 1.92

X 3.69

NAC 3.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PEC Zwolle x NAC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for PEC Zwolle x NAC

Important information for your tip for PEC Zwolle x NAC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PEC Zwolle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on NAC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, PEC Zwolle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 NAC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between PEC Zwolle x NAC, with PEC Zwolle as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 PEC Zwolle has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against NAC playing at home.

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Analysis from PEC Zwolle x NAC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 20 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PEC Zwolle and NAC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204480 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle x NAC

Is betting on PEC Zwolle worth it?

🔵 PEC Zwolle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $450.80;
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$59.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $699.40;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.60.

Is it worth betting on NAC?

🔴 NAC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $657.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$92.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match PEC Zwolle x NAC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 PEC Zwolle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle x NAC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 PEC Zwolle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 PEC Zwolle. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PEC Zwolle x NAC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.