PSV x Ajax Betting tips for March 30 in Netherlands Eredivisie
| 📅 30/3/2025 12:30 |
 PSV1.70 |
X 4.10 |
Ajax  4.22 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for PSV x Ajax:
🔮 PSV wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSV, you can win up to $850.00!
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Important information for your tip for PSV x Ajax: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-138.0. |
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Analysis from PSV x Ajax for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 30 of March
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🏟️ PSV X Ajax – Netherlands Eredivisie |
When the best bet on PSV x Ajax is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1291320 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for PSV x Ajax
Is it worth betting on PSV?
🔵 PSV: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
- And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$292.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $403.00;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$467.00.
Should you bet on Ajax?
🔴 Ajax: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $354.20
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$535.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match PSV x Ajax
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 PSV
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSV x Ajax
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 PSV and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 PSV. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSV x Ajax
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
