PSV x AZ Betting tips for January 11 in Netherlands Eredivisie
| 📅 11/1/2025 20:00 |
 PSV1.41 |
X 5.00 |
AZ  6.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for PSV x AZ:
🔮 AZ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $3250.00!
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Important information for your tip for PSV x AZ: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $147.0. |
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Analysis from PSV x AZ for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 11 of January
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🏟️ PSV X AZ – Netherlands Eredivisie |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PSV and AZ.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for PSV x AZ
Is it worth betting on PSV?
🔵 PSV: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 760 times – profiting $311.60;
- And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$71.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $320.00
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$600.00.
Is it worth betting on AZ?
🔴 AZ: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $880.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$40.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match PSV x AZ
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 PSV
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSV x AZ
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 PSV and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 PSV.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 AZ.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSV x AZ
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
