PSV x FC Twente Betting tips for December 6 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for PSV x FC Twente, Friday, 6/12/2024

📅 6/12/2024 19:00

PSV 1.42

X 4.82

FC Twente 6.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for PSV x FC Twente:

🔮 PSV wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSV, you can win up to $710.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for PSV x FC Twente: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $159.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Twente in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-155.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, PSV scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, FC Twente scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Twente, PSV scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 PSV matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 PSV is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession. 👉 PSV is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, FC Twente has not lost any of them. 👉 PSV has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against FC Twente.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PSV x FC Twente?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PSV x FC Twente, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from PSV x FC Twente for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 6 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSV x FC Twente right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233006 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSV x FC Twente

Is it worth betting on PSV?

🔵 PSV: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $369.60
• And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$249.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $305.60;
• And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$614.40.

Is it worth betting on FC Twente?

🔴 FC Twente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $220.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$740.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match PSV x FC Twente

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 PSV
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSV x FC Twente

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 PSV and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 PSV. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSV x FC Twente

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.