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Home ยป Predictions ยป Eredivisie ยป PSV x Sparta Rotterdam Betting tips for October 5 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 05 October 2024, 15h00 Netherlands Eredivisie
PSV PSV
PREDICTION PSV wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
ODD: @1.15 Don't miss this prediction!

PSV x Sparta Rotterdam Betting tips for October 5 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for PSV x Sparta Rotterdam, Saturday, 5/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 5/10/2024
15:00
PSV PSV
1.15
X
8.00
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
14.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for PSV x Sparta Rotterdam:

๐Ÿ”ฎ PSV wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSV, you can win up to $575.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for PSV x Sparta Rotterdam:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PSV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-163.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sparta Rotterdam in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $248.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, PSV scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sparta Rotterdam scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sparta Rotterdam conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Sparta Rotterdam has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ PSV has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sparta Rotterdam playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on PSV x Sparta Rotterdam?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from PSV x Sparta Rotterdam for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 5 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ PSV X Sparta Rotterdam – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 5 of October, 2024 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต PSV – Winning probability: 99.04% | Fair line: 1.01
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.72% | Fair line: 139.47
๐Ÿ”ด Sparta Rotterdam – Winning probability: 0.25% | Fair line: 405.7
โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.25 PSV
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on PSV x Sparta Rotterdam is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194677 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSV x Sparta Rotterdam

Is it a good idea to bet on PSV?

๐Ÿ”ต PSV: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $148.50;
  • And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$138.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $70.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$920.00.

Is it worth betting on Sparta Rotterdam?

๐Ÿ”ด Sparta Rotterdam: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 14.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PSV x Sparta Rotterdam

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.25 PSV
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSV x Sparta Rotterdam

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.25 PSV, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.25 PSV. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSV x Sparta Rotterdam

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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