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Home ยป Predictions ยป RKC x FC Twente Betting tips for October 19 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 18h00 Netherlands Eredivisie
RKC RKC
PREDICTION RKC wins Probability 18% 1 X 2
FC Twente FC Twente
ODD: @6.95 Don't miss this prediction!

RKC x FC Twente Betting tips for October 19 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for RKC x FC Twente, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
18:00
RKC RKC
6.95
X
4.86
FC Twente FC Twente
1.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for RKC x FC Twente:

๐Ÿ”ฎ RKC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on RKC, you can win up to $3475.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for RKC x FC Twente:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on RKC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Twente in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-146.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, FC Twente scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, RKC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for RKC as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from RKC x FC Twente for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ RKC X FC Twente – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต RKC – Winning probability: 18.29% | Fair line: 5.47
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.87% | Fair line: 11.28
๐Ÿ”ด FC Twente – Winning probability: 72.84% | Fair line: 1.37
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 RKC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between RKC and FC Twente.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for RKC x FC Twente

Should you bet on RKC?

๐Ÿ”ต RKC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $1071.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$251.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $347.40
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$562.60.

Should you bet on FC Twente?

๐Ÿ”ด FC Twente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – profiting $292.00;
  • And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$22.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match RKC x FC Twente

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 RKC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for RKC x FC Twente

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 RKC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 RKC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 RKC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for RKC x FC Twente

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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