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Home Β» Predictions Β» Eredivisie Β» Telstar x NEC Betting tips for December 13 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 13 December 2025, 15h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
Telstar Telstar
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NEC NEC
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Telstar x NEC Betting tips for December 13 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Telstar x NEC, Saturday, 13/12/2025
πŸ“… 13/12/2025
15:30
Telstar Telstar
4.10
X
4.00
NEC NEC
1.72

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Telstar x NEC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Telstar x NEC

The main points for the tip for Telstar x NEC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Telstar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NEC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $492.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Telstar scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Telstar x NEC, with Telstar as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Telstar conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the away team, NEC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Telstar conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against NEC.

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Summary

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Analysis from Telstar x NEC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 13 of December

🏟️ Telstar X NEC – Netherlands Eredivisie
πŸ“… 13 of December, 2025 – 15:30
πŸ”΅ Telstar – Winning probability: 24.17% | Fair line: 4.14
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.63% | Fair line: 4.62
πŸ”΄ NEC – Winning probability: 54.19% | Fair line: 1.85
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Telstar
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Telstar x NEC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1451631 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Telstar x NEC

Is it a good idea to bet on Telstar?

πŸ”΅ Telstar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $744.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$16.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $660.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$120.00.

Is it worth betting on NEC?

πŸ”΄ NEC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $388.80;
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$71.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Telstar x NEC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Telstar
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Telstar x NEC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Telstar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Telstar.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 NEC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Telstar x NEC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves