Willem II x Almere City FC Betting tips for March 29 in Netherlands Eredivisie
π
29/3/2025 17:45 |
![]() 2.12 |
X 3.40 |
Almere City FC ![]() 3.30 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Willem II x Almere City FC:
π Ummβ¦too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Willem II x Almere City FC
Important information for your tip for Willem II x Almere City FC: π If you had bet $100 on Willem II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. |

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Analysis from Willem II x Almere City FC for the Netherlands Eredivisie β 29 of March
ποΈ Willem II X Almere City FC β Netherlands Eredivisie |
When the best bet on Willem II x Almere City FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1290777 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Willem II x Almere City FC
Should you bet on Willem II?
π΅ Willem II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 400 times β having a profit of $448.00;
- And would lose other 600 times β losing -$600.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$152.00.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times β having a profit of $696.00;
- And would lose other 710 times β losing -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$14.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Almere City FC?
π΄ Almere City FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 310 times β having a profit of $713.00;
- And would lose other 690 times β having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$23.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Willem II x Almere City FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1Γ2: +0.25 Willem II
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1Γ2 market for Willem II x Almere City FC
β Handicap 1Γ2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Willem II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Willem II.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ2 is on: 0.75 Almere City FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Willem II x Almere City FC
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.