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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » Willem II x Heerenveen Betting tips for December 8 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 08 December 2024, 13h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
Willem II Willem II
PREDICTION Willem II wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Heerenveen Heerenveen
ODD: @2.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Willem II x Heerenveen Betting tips for December 8 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Willem II x Heerenveen, Sunday, 8/12/2024
📅 8/12/2024
13:30
Willem II Willem II
2.40
X
3.30
Heerenveen Heerenveen
2.87

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Willem II x Heerenveen:

🔮 Willem II wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Willem II, you can win up to $1200.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Willem II x Heerenveen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Willem II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Heerenveen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-380.0.
👉 In the last 5 Heerenveen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Heerenveen conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Willem II x Heerenveen for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 8 of December

🏟️ Willem II X Heerenveen – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 8 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Willem II – Winning probability: 54.17% | Fair line: 1.85
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.12% | Fair line: 3.98
🔴 Heerenveen – Winning probability: 20.71% | Fair line: 4.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Willem II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Willem II and Heerenveen.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233707 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Willem II x Heerenveen

Is betting on Willem II worth it?

🔵 Willem II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$296.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it worth betting on Heerenveen?

🔴 Heerenveen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $392.70;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$397.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Willem II x Heerenveen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Willem II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Willem II x Heerenveen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Willem II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Willem II.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Willem II x Heerenveen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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