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Home ยป Predictions ยป Eredivisie ยป Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam Betting tips for August 31 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 31 August 2024, 16h00 Netherlands Eredivisie
Willem II Willem II
PREDICTION Willem II wins Probability 38% 1 X 2
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
ODD: @2.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam Betting tips for August 31 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam, Saturday, 31/8/2024
๐Ÿ“… 31/8/2024
16:00
Willem II Willem II
2.90
X
3.60
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Willem II wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Willem II, you can win up to $1450.00!

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Important information for your tip for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Willem II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $76.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sparta Rotterdam in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $272.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Willem II scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sparta Rotterdam scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sparta Rotterdam did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Willem II conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sparta Rotterdam.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Sparta Rotterdam has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Even as a visitor, Sparta Rotterdam won the last 5 head-to-head matches Willem IIยดs territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 31 of August

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Willem II X Sparta Rotterdam – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 31 of August, 2024 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Willem II – Winning probability: 38.19% | Fair line: 2.62
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.88% | Fair line: 4.19
๐Ÿ”ด Sparta Rotterdam – Winning probability: 37.93% | Fair line: 2.64
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Willem II
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Willem II and Sparta Rotterdam.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1170907 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam

Is betting on Willem II worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Willem II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $722.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$102.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$136.00.

Should you bet on Sparta Rotterdam?

๐Ÿ”ด Sparta Rotterdam: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $494.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$126.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Willem II
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Willem II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Willem II.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Willem II x Sparta Rotterdam

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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