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Home ยป Predictions ยป Europa League ยป Ajax x Galatasaray Betting tips for January 30 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 30 January 2025, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
Ajax Ajax
PREDICTION Galatasaray Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Galatasaray Galatasaray
ODD: @2.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Ajax x Galatasaray Betting tips for January 30 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Ajax x Galatasaray, Thursday, 30/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 30/1/2025
20:00
Ajax Ajax
2.40
X
3.61
Galatasaray Galatasaray
2.55

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ajax x Galatasaray:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Galatasaray wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Galatasaray, you can win up to $1275.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Ajax x Galatasaray:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-152.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Galatasaray in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-66.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Ajax scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Galatasaray scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Galatasaray conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Ajax is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Galatasaray has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Ajax x Galatasaray?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ajax x Galatasaray, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ajax x Galatasaray for the UEFA Europa League โ€“ 30 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Ajax X Galatasaray โ€“ UEFA Europa League
๐Ÿ“… 30 of January, 2025 โ€“ 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Ajax โ€“ Winning probability: 31.93% | Fair line: 3.13
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 7.72% | Fair line: 12.95
๐Ÿ”ด Galatasaray โ€“ Winning probability: 60.35% | Fair line: 1.66
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: 0.0 Ajax
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ajax x Galatasaray right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1253955 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1ร—2 market for Ajax x Galatasaray

Is it a good idea to bet on Ajax?

๐Ÿ”ต Ajax: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times โ€“ profiting $448.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times โ€“ having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$232.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times โ€“ having a profit of $208.80;
  • And would lose other 920 times โ€“ losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$711.20.

Should you bet on Galatasaray?

๐Ÿ”ด Galatasaray: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times โ€“ profiting $930.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times โ€“ losing -$400.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$530.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax x Galatasaray

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: 0.0 Ajax
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Ajax x Galatasaray

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Ajax, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Ajax.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1ร—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax x Galatasaray

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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