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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Ajax x Lazio Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 12 December 2024, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
Ajax Ajax
PREDICTION Ajax wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Lazio Lazio
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Ajax x Lazio Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Ajax x Lazio, Thursday, 12/12/2024
📅 12/12/2024
20:00
Ajax Ajax
2.25
X
3.50
Lazio Lazio
3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ajax x Lazio:

🔮 Ajax wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ajax, you can win up to $1125.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Ajax x Lazio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $688.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Ajax scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Ajax x Lazio?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Ajax x Lazio:

Analysis from Ajax x Lazio for the UEFA Europa League – 12 of December

🏟️ Ajax X Lazio – UEFA Europa League
📅 12 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Ajax – Winning probability: 47.16% | Fair line: 2.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.57% | Fair line: 4.24
🔴 Lazio – Winning probability: 29.27% | Fair line: 3.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ajax
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ajax and Lazio.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1235940 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ajax x Lazio

Is it worth betting on Ajax?

🔵 Ajax: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $587.50;
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$57.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Should you bet on Lazio?

🔴 Lazio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $580.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax x Lazio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ajax
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax x Lazio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Ajax, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Ajax.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Ajax.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax x Lazio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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