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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Athletic Bilbao x Roma Betting tips for March 13 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 13 March 2025, 17h45 UEFA Europa League
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
PREDICTION Roma Wins Probability 26% 1 X 2
Roma Roma
ODD: @4 Don't miss this prediction!

Athletic Bilbao x Roma Betting tips for March 13 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Athletic Bilbao x Roma, Thursday, 13/3/2025
📅 13/3/2025
17:45
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
1.92
X
3.40
Roma Roma
4.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Athletic Bilbao x Roma:

🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $2000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Athletic Bilbao x Roma:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-64.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $76.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Athletic Bilbao scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Roma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Roma matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Roma has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Athletic Bilbao x Roma?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Athletic Bilbao x Roma:

Analysis from Athletic Bilbao x Roma for the UEFA Europa League – 13 of March

🏟️ Athletic Bilbao X Roma – UEFA Europa League
📅 13 of March, 2025 – 17:45
🔵 Athletic Bilbao – Winning probability: 49.03% | Fair line: 2.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.04% | Fair line: 4.16
🔴 Roma – Winning probability: 26.92% | Fair line: 3.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Athletic Bilbao
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Athletic Bilbao and Roma.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1280623 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Athletic Bilbao x Roma

Is betting on Athletic Bilbao worth it?

🔵 Athletic Bilbao: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $450.80
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$59.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Should you bet on Roma?

🔴 Roma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $810.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao x Roma

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Athletic Bilbao
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Roma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Athletic Bilbao and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Athletic Bilbao.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao x Roma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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