AZ x Galatasaray Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Europa League
| 📅 28/11/2024 17:45 |
 AZ2.85 |
X 3.50 |
Galatasaray  2.30 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for AZ x Galatasaray:
🔮 Galatasaray wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Galatasaray, you can win up to $1150.00!
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Important information for your tip for AZ x Galatasaray: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0. |
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Analysis from AZ x Galatasaray for the UEFA Europa League – 28 of November
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🏟️ AZ X Galatasaray – UEFA Europa League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AZ x Galatasaray right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228982 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for AZ x Galatasaray
Is it worth betting on AZ?
🔵 AZ: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $388.50;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$401.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $375.00
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.
Is betting on Galatasaray worth it?
🔴 Galatasaray: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 640 times – profiting $832.00;
- And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$472.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match AZ x Galatasaray
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AZ
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AZ x Galatasaray
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 AZ and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 AZ.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Galatasaray.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AZ x Galatasaray
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
