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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Besiktas x Malmo FF Betting tips for November 6 in UEFA Europa League
Wednesday, 06 November 2024, 15h30 UEFA Europa League
Besiktas Besiktas
PREDICTION Besiktas wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Malmo FF Malmo FF
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Besiktas x Malmo FF Betting tips for November 6 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Besiktas x Malmo FF, Wednesday, 6/11/2024
📅 6/11/2024
15:30
Besiktas Besiktas
1.60
X
4.21
Malmo FF Malmo FF
4.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Besiktas x Malmo FF:

🔮 Besiktas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Besiktas, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Besiktas x Malmo FF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Besiktas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-69.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Malmo FF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Besiktas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Malmo FF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Malmo FF conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Malmo FF has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Besiktas x Malmo FF?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Besiktas x Malmo FF, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Besiktas x Malmo FF for the UEFA Europa League – 6 of November

🏟️ Besiktas X Malmo FF – UEFA Europa League
📅 6 of November, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 Besiktas – Winning probability: 81.28% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.14% | Fair line: 16.3
🔴 Malmo FF – Winning probability: 12.58% | Fair line: 7.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Besiktas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Besiktas x Malmo FF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1217498 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Besiktas x Malmo FF

Is it a good idea to bet on Besiktas?

🔵 Besiktas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$296.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $192.60;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$747.40.

Is betting on Malmo FF worth it?

🔴 Malmo FF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $500.50;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$369.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Besiktas x Malmo FF

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Besiktas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Besiktas x Malmo FF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Besiktas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Besiktas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Besiktas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Besiktas x Malmo FF

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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