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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 12 December 2024, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
PREDICTION Bodo/Glimt wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Besiktas Besiktas
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas, Thursday, 12/12/2024
📅 12/12/2024
20:00
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
2.05
X
3.70
Besiktas Besiktas
3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas:

🔮 Bodo/Glimt wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bodo/Glimt, you can win up to $1025.00!

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The main points for the tip for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bodo/Glimt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-269.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Besiktas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bodo/Glimt scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Bodo/Glimt matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Bodo/Glimt conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas for the UEFA Europa League – 12 of December

🏟️ Bodo/Glimt X Besiktas – UEFA Europa League
📅 12 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Bodo/Glimt – Winning probability: 64.10% | Fair line: 1.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.71% | Fair line: 4.61
🔴 Besiktas – Winning probability: 14.19% | Fair line: 7.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Bodo/Glimt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1235879 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas

Is it a good idea to bet on Bodo/Glimt?

🔵 Bodo/Glimt: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$312.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $594.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$186.00.

Should you bet on Besiktas?

🔴 Besiktas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $350.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$510.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Bodo/Glimt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Bodo/Glimt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Bodo/Glimt.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Bodo/Glimt.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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