Bologna x SK Brann Betting tips for February 26 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Bologna x SK Brann, Thursday, 26/2/2026

📅 26/2/2026 20:00

Bologna 1.40

X 4.60

SK Brann 7.36

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bologna x SK Brann:

🔮 SK Brann wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SK Brann, you can win up to $3680.00!

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Important information for your tip for Bologna x SK Brann:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SK Brann in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Bologna matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, SK Brann conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Bologna vs SK Brann?

Lets analyze the match between Bologna and SK Brann in the UEFA Europa League, which will take place at Renato DallAra Stadium, the rightful home of Bologna, giving the Italians a natural advantage. 🏟️

📈 Bologna has shown a mixed performance at home in recent matches: scored 5 goals and conceded 11 in the last 5 games at their stadium, with only one win and three losses. However, considering the last five matches across all competitions (including away games), they have a more positive record with 3 wins and no losses. SK Brann, on the other hand, faces clear difficulties away from home: scored only 2 goals and conceded 8 in the last five away games, with no wins during this period.

Additionally, Bolognas offensive stats are superior — an average of 19 shots per game compared to only 9 for Brann — as well as ball possession (55% vs. 51%). This indicates greater control of the game by the Italian team.

📰 Recent news shows Bologna is trying to recover after a turbulent period with key injuries (such as Benjamin Domínguez out due to flu) but has recently achieved narrow victories. Coach Vincenzo Italiano sees this match as an important test to maintain good form. Conversely, SK Brann needs to overturn the 1-0 defeat from the first leg and is under pressure to seek a positive result.

Looking at the median odds offered by betting houses: Bologna (1.4), draw (4.6), and Brann (7), with approximate normalized implied probabilities of 62%, 17%, and 14%, respectively.

However, our internal model suggests higher predicted odds for the home team (~1.67), indicating a lower probability (~60%), a draw (~18%) similar to the odds, but a much higher probability (~22%) for the visiting team, perhaps reflecting some realistic chance given Branns need to overturn the result.

Evaluating the expected value of bets based on our cross-statistics:

• Bologna: Negative EV (-14%) due to recent defensive vulnerabilities despite offensive strength;
• Draw: Also negative EV (-15%), unlikely given the profile of the teams;
• Victory for SK Brann: High positive EV (+39%), suggesting value in the bet even as an underdog in the odds.

Therefore, my recommendation is to consider betting on SK Brann to win, seeking this unexpected value! ⚽🔥 Despite the pressure being entirely on the Italian team playing at their historic Renato DallAra stadium — where they usually have good fan support — the numbers indicate that the Norwegian team could surprise if they exploit the defensive weaknesses of the hosts.

Final suggestion:

• Value bet: SK Brann victory with an expected value above +35%;
• Be cautious with betting on Bologna due to their recent unstable defense;
• Less attractive to bet on the draw given the low realistic probability observed in current statistics.

Always remember that football is unpredictable but here we have solid data pointing to an interesting opportunity! Good luck! 🍀

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Analysis from Bologna x SK Brann for the UEFA Europa League – 26 of February

The latest news about Bologna x SK Brann

Bologna: Under the management of coach Vincenzo Italiano, Bologna has been busy at the end of February 2026, combining a tough 1-0 Serie A victory over Udinese – secured by a penalty from Bernardeschi – with a new match in the Europa League quarter-finals against Norwegian team Brann, which Italiano described as a test after a turbulent two-month period that saw the club face several setbacks; the squad for the Udinese match included goalkeeper Skorupski, a defensive line formed by João Mário, Lucumì, Vitik, and Miranda, midfielders Sohm, Freuler, and Pobega, and an attack with Orsolini, Castro, and Rowe, while injuries kept Charalampos Lykogiannis out due to a tendon issue and Argentine forward Benjamin Domínguez sidelined by the flu, and the team aims to continue its recent good form that includes a victory over Torino and a narrow playoff win against Brann.

SK Brann: SK Brann, coached by Freyr Alexandersson, is preparing for the Europa League 2025/26 playoff second leg against Bologna on February 26, 2026, after a 1-0 defeat in the first leg, where Santiago Castro scored the decisive goal; the Norwegian team, which recently drew 2-2 with Sotra in a friendly, will seek to overturn the unfavorable score while also competing in the Eliteserien.

UEFA Europa League table analysis for Bologna x SK Brann

Bologna: The match is quite important for Bologna, which is in 10th place with 15 points, aiming to secure or even improve its spot in the UEFA Europa League qualifying playoffs. A win here could strengthen their position and increase the chances of advancing in the competition. The team is coming off a good performance and wants to maintain this advantage to have a chance to fight in decisive stages.

SK Brann: For SK Brann, which is in 24th place with only 9 points and a negative goal difference, the game is also very relevant. Even though they are further from the qualification zone for the next rounds, the team needs points to move away from the bottom of the table and avoid possible relegation or an even worse classification. Every point gained can make a big difference for their recovery in the competition.

Summary: The match is important for both teams, albeit for different reasons: Bologna to confirm or improve their spot in the next phase, and SK Brann to try to get out of the risk zone and gain momentum for the upcoming rounds. A high-pressure game that promises excitement! ⚽🔥

How the handicap and odds moved for Bologna x SK Brann

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Bologna x SK Brann.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bologna x SK Brann

When the best bet on Bologna x SK Brann is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1487572 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is betting on Bologna worth it?

🔵 Bologna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $232.00
• And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $684.00;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$126.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on SK Brann?

🔴 SK Brann: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $1399.20;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$619.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x SK Brann

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x SK Brann

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Bologna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Bologna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 SK Brann.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x SK Brann

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Bologna x SK Brann