Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis, Thursday, 11/12/2025

📅 11/12/2025 17:45

Dinamo Zagreb 3.38

X 3.60

Real Betis 2.03

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis:

🔮 Dinamo Zagreb wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dinamo Zagreb, you can win up to $1690.00!

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Important information for your tip for Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Dinamo Zagreb in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-84.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Betis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Real Betis scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Dinamo Zagreb conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Real Betis has not lost any of them.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs Real Betis:

Lets analyze the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Real Betis that will take place at Maksimir Stadium, home of Dinamo Zagreb. According to recent statistics, Dinamo averages 2 goals scored per home game and concedes about 1 goal, showing a reasonable offensive performance but with some defensive vulnerability. Meanwhile, Real Betis has impressive away stats, with an average of 3 goals scored and only 1 conceded in recent matches, and remains unbeaten in their last away games.

The median odds indicate favoritism for Betis (2.0), followed by a draw (3.65) and Dinamo win (3.3). Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities gives approximately: Dinamo win ~27%, draw ~26%, Betis win ~47%. Considering Betiss superior offensive stats away and Dinamos weaker defense at home, this distribution makes sense.

However, our internal model suggests a higher probability for the home team win (~43%) with a very high positive expected value (+45%), while undervaluing the other options. This seems overly optimistic given that Betis is in excellent form as visitors and has a very strong attack.

📈 In the recent league table (not detailed here), we know Betis is in fifth place in La Liga after a recent loss to Barcelona in a lively game; this could boost their motivation to seek important points in the Europa League. Dinamo Zagreb has been oscillating quite a bit in European competitions with heavy recent defeats in the Europa League.

📰 News reinforces this scenario: Dinamo had mixed results against strong opponents like Milan and Arsenal in the Champions League but suffered heavy defeats in the Europa League group; Betis, on the other hand, comes from a tough loss but maintains a good overall campaign in the Spanish league despite off-field issues during the last match.

Given this, my analysis suggests adjusting the probabilities to a more balanced view: approximately 30% for Dinamo Zagreb to win at home due to Maksimir being their usual ground (with supportive fans), about 25% for a draw due to the competitiveness of both teams, and roughly 45% for Betis to win due to their recent demonstrated technical superiority as visitors.

Based on this perspective, fair odds would be:

• Dinamo win: fair odd ~3.33
• Draw: fair odd ~4
• Betis win: fair odd ~2.22

Looking at the final odds offered by bookmakers (Dinamo @3.4 / Draw @3.6 / Betis @2.1), we see potential value in betting on the home team win — since their final odds are slightly higher than our calculated fair odds — resulting in a positive expected value above +5%. Betting on a draw or the away win does not show attractive expected value according to this combined analysis of recent stats, news, and team positioning.

Suggestion: bet on the Dinamo Zagreb victory, taking advantage of the slightly inflated odds given their moderate offensive strength playing at their traditional Maksimir stadium.
⚠️ Be cautious of possible surprises given recent fluctuations of the Croatians but worth considering this opportunity!

Always bet responsibly! 🍀⚽️

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis for the UEFA Europa League – 11 of December

When the best bet on Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1451823 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news on Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis

Dinamo Zagreb: Dinamo Zagreb has been active in top and youth competitions this season, with the senior team recording a 2-1 victory over Milan in the Champions League on January 29, after a 3-0 defeat to Arsenal a week earlier, and most recently drawing 0-0 with Celje in the group stage; in the Europa League, they suffered heavy defeats to Lille (4-0 on November 27) and Celje (3-0 on November 6), drew 1-1 with Malmö on October 23, and recovered with a 3-1 win against MTK on October 2, with midfielder Josip Mišić participating in these matches. Defender Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel has been a regular starter, appearing in recent Champions League games. Meanwhile, the clubs U-19 team is prepared to face NK Varaždin U-19 on December 13, 2025, in the U19 Prva NL Juniori, after a 3-2 loss to Hajduk Split U-19, and the U-21 team is scheduled to play a friendly against Brighton & Hove Albion U-21.

Real Betis: Real Betis suffered a 5-3 home defeat to Barcelona on December 6, 2025, with Barcelonas Ferran Torres scoring a hat-trick and Lamine Yamal converting a penalty, while Betiss only goal was by Antony; the match was marked by a security incident when Yamals father, seated among Betis fans, provoked tension with the crowd, leading to police intervention, and the defeat placed Betis fifth in La Liga standings.

Table analysis for the game between Dinamo Zagreb and Real Betis

No table analysis was provided for this match.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis

Is it worth betting on Dinamo Zagreb?

🔵 Dinamo Zagreb: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $999.60
• And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$419.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $650.00
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is betting on Real Betis worth it?

🔴 Real Betis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $339.90;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$330.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Dinamo Zagreb
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Dinamo Zagreb, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Dinamo Zagreb.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Dinamo Zagreb.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dinamo Zagreb x Real Betis

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.