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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Elfsborg x FK Qarabag Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 12 December 2024, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
Elfsborg Elfsborg
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
FK Qarabag FK Qarabag
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Elfsborg x FK Qarabag Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Elfsborg x FK Qarabag, Thursday, 12/12/2024
📅 12/12/2024
20:00
Elfsborg Elfsborg
2.48
X
3.50
FK Qarabag FK Qarabag
2.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Elfsborg x FK Qarabag:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Elfsborg x FK Qarabag:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Elfsborg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $241.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Qarabag in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $311.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Elfsborg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, FK Qarabag scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 road matches, FK Qarabag has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Elfsborg x FK Qarabag?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Elfsborg x FK Qarabag for the UEFA Europa League – 12 of December

🏟️ Elfsborg X FK Qarabag – UEFA Europa League
📅 12 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Elfsborg – Winning probability: 29.75% | Fair line: 3.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.54% | Fair line: 2.9
🔴 FK Qarabag – Winning probability: 35.70% | Fair line: 2.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Elfsborg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Elfsborg x FK Qarabag right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1235940 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Elfsborg x FK Qarabag

Is betting on Elfsborg worth it?

🔵 Elfsborg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $444.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $875.00
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$225.00.

Is betting on FK Qarabag worth it?

🔴 FK Qarabag: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $586.80;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$53.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Elfsborg x FK Qarabag

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Elfsborg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Elfsborg x FK Qarabag

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Elfsborg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Elfsborg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 FK Qarabag.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Elfsborg x FK Qarabag

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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