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Home » Predictions » Europa League » FC Porto x Manchester United Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Europa League
FC Porto FC Porto
PREDICTION Manchester United Wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Manchester United Manchester United
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Porto x Manchester United Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for FC Porto x Manchester United, Thursday, 3/10/2024
📅 3/10/2024
16:00
FC Porto FC Porto
2.70
X
3.40
Manchester United Manchester United
2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Porto x Manchester United:

🔮 Manchester United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester United, you can win up to $1250.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for FC Porto x Manchester United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $111.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FC Porto scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 FC Porto is good playing home: it has 8 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on FC Porto x Manchester United?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from FC Porto x Manchester United for the UEFA Europa League – 3 of October

🏟️ FC Porto X Manchester United – UEFA Europa League
📅 3 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 FC Porto – Winning probability: 1.78% | Fair line: 56.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.77% | Fair line: 20.97
🔴 Manchester United – Winning probability: 93.45% | Fair line: 1.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on FC Porto x Manchester United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194241 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Porto x Manchester United

Is betting on FC Porto worth it?

🔵 FC Porto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $34.00
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$946.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $120.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$830.00.

Is it worth betting on Manchester United?

🔴 Manchester United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 930 times – profiting $1395.00;
  • And would have lost other 70 times – with a loss of -$70.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$1325.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto x Manchester United

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto x Manchester United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 FC Porto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FC Porto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Manchester United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto x Manchester United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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