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Home » Predictions » Europa League » FC Porto x Midtjylland Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 12 December 2024, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
FC Porto FC Porto
PREDICTION FC Porto wins Probability 91% 1 X 2
Midtjylland Midtjylland
ODD: @1.34 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Porto x Midtjylland Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for FC Porto x Midtjylland, Thursday, 12/12/2024
📅 12/12/2024
20:00
FC Porto FC Porto
1.34
X
4.95
Midtjylland Midtjylland
8.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Porto x Midtjylland:

🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $670.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for FC Porto x Midtjylland:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $147.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Midtjylland in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 FC Porto did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, FC Porto scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 FC Porto is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 64.00% of possession.
👉 FC Porto is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on FC Porto x Midtjylland?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from FC Porto x Midtjylland for the UEFA Europa League – 12 of December

🏟️ FC Porto X Midtjylland – UEFA Europa League
📅 12 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 FC Porto – Winning probability: 91.44% | Fair line: 1.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.57% | Fair line: 15.22
🔴 Midtjylland – Winning probability: 1.99% | Fair line: 50.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on FC Porto x Midtjylland is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1235940 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Porto x Midtjylland

Should you bet on FC Porto?

🔵 FC Porto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 91.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – profiting $309.40;
  • And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$219.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $276.50
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$653.50.

Should you bet on Midtjylland?

🔴 Midtjylland: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $140.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$840.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto x Midtjylland

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto x Midtjylland

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 FC Porto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 FC Porto.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto x Midtjylland

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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