Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest Betting tips for February 19 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest, Thursday, 19/2/2026

📅 19/2/2026 17:45

Fenerbahce 2.30

X 3.30

Nottm Forest 3.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest:

🔮 Nottm Forest wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nottm Forest, you can win up to $1550.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fenerbahce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-88.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $163.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Fenerbahce scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Fenerbahce conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Fenerbahce vs Nottm Forest?

Lets analyze the match between Fenerbahce and Nottingham Forest in the UEFA Europa League, which will take place at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, Fenerbahces traditional home. 🏟️

📈 Fenerbahce comes with a solid home performance: an average of 2 goals scored per game and only 1 conceded, along with a dominant ball possession (62%). In the last 5 home games, they won 3, drew 1, and lost only 1. Nottingham Forest has a similar scoring average (2), but concedes more goals (average of 2) and has lower possession (44%) away from home. Additionally, Forest has recent managerial changes — Vitor Pereira took over to try to turn around the teams difficult Premier League season.

📰 The news reinforces this analysis: Fenerbahce remains unbeaten in the Turkish league with a squad strengthened by experienced NGolo Kanté; meanwhile, Nottingham Forest recently dismissed their coach after poor results and now rely on Vitor Pereira to give the team a new boost. This instability could weigh against the visitors.

📰 The news reinforces this analysis: Fenerbahce remains unbeaten in the Turkish league with a squad strengthened by experienced NGolo Kanté; meanwhile, Nottingham Forest recently dismissed their coach after poor results and now rely on Vitor Pereira to give the team a new boost. This instability could weigh against the visitors.

Analyzing the median odds offered by betting houses: Fenerbahce to win at 2.3, draw at 3.3, and Nottingham Forest to win at 3.05 — the normalized implied probabilities indicate a slight advantage for the home team (~43%), followed by a draw (~30%), and an away win (~27%).

Considering the offensive/defensive stats of the teams combined with the clear home advantage at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium — where they have strong fan support — my fair probability estimates would be approximately:

• Fenerbahce win: ~45%
• Draw: ~28%
• Nottingham Forest win: ~27%

Thus, fair odds would be approximately:

• Fenerbahce – Fair odds ~2.22
• Draw – Fair odds ~3.57
• Nottingham Forest – Fair odds ~3.70

The comparison with the final odds shows that betting on the away win may have a moderate positive expected value because the offered odds are better than my calculated fair odds.

However, considering the current overall situation — tactical stability/home advantage + reinforced squad + good domestic form vs recent technical instability of the visitors — I believe betting on Fenerbahce to win is safer despite the lower odds. The Turkish team should impose their rhythm mainly playing at their historic stadium.

Suggested bet:

• Safe bet: Fenerbahce win (positive EV due to tactical/moral consistency)
• Value bet: Nottingham Forest win could be considered if seeking higher speculative returns due to favorable final odds compared to my estimates.

Overall, I partially disagree with the main suggestion from the Bets Club model, which indicates higher value in the away victory; I see more security in the home favoritism given all the presented context! ⚽🔥 Let’s root for a great game!

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2026. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest for the UEFA Europa League – 19 of February

Latest news about Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest

Fenerbahçe: Fenerbahçe strengthened their squad by signing former Chelsea and Leicester midfielder NGolo Kanté from Al Ittihad. He debuted in the 3-1 victory over Gençlerbirliği in the Süper Lig, being substituted at the 62nd minute; the club remains unbeaten in the league with 15 wins and 7 draws in 22 matches, holding second place behind Galatasaray with 52 points and a goal difference of +31. They will travel to England for the Europa League qualifying return match against Nottingham Forest on February 19, 2026, a game where former Fenerbahçe coach Vitor Pereira will manage Forest against his former club. Additionally, the loan of forward Jhon Durán was prematurely terminated in early February due to reported disciplinary issues, and he has already transferred.

Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest dismissed coach Sean Dyche after only 114 days in charge, following a 0-0 draw against Wolves, the Premier Leagues bottom team, which left the club three points above the relegation zone with 12 games remaining. His departure was announced on February 12, 2026, and the club quickly appointed former Wolves coach Vitor Pereira, who had previously worked with owner Evangelos Marinakis at Olympiakos and led Wolves to safety last season. He was confirmed as the fourth coach of the campaign on February 16, 2026, tasked with reversing a season described as “to forget” and guiding the team in the Europa League qualifiers against Fenerbahçe, while fighting to escape relegation.

Table analysis for the match between Fenerbahce and Nottm Forest

Fenerbahce: Fenerbahce is currently in 19th place, with 12 points and a goal difference of 3. It is far from the qualification zone for the knockout stages or international competitions, which is concentrated in the top 16 positions. With the match already underway and a significant points gap, this game is not decisive for Fenerbahce to climb the table, making it less important for their championship ambitions.

Nottm Forest: Nottm Forest is in 13th place, with 14 points and a goal difference of 8. It remains in the zone that allows qualification for the playoffs and subsequent stages, but is close to the cutoff zone and far from the leaders with 21 points. The match against Fenerbahce could be important for Nottm Forest to consolidate its position and seek a spot in the next phase, as a victory would help maintain or increase its advantage over teams just behind in the standings.

Summary: The game is more important for Nottm Forest, which still has concrete chances to advance and needs the points to secure its position. For Fenerbahce, however, the match has less impact, as it is further from the qualification spots and the classification seems out of reach at this moment.

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1482984 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is betting on Fenerbahce worth it?

🔵 Fenerbahce: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $481.00
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $667.00;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$43.00.

Should you bet on Nottm Forest?

🔴 Nottm Forest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $714.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$54.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Fenerbahce
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Fenerbahce and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Fenerbahce.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Nottm Forest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Fenerbahce x Nottm Forest