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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Lazio x FC Porto Betting tips for November 7 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
Lazio Lazio
PREDICTION Lazio wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
FC Porto FC Porto
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Lazio x FC Porto Betting tips for November 7 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Lazio x FC Porto, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
20:00
Lazio Lazio
2.20
X
3.40
FC Porto FC Porto
3.17

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lazio x FC Porto:

🔮 Lazio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Lazio x FC Porto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $304.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-86.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lazio scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, FC Porto scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Lazio matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 FC Porto matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Lazio is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Lazio x FC Porto?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lazio x FC Porto:

Analysis from Lazio x FC Porto for the UEFA Europa League – 7 of November

🏟️ Lazio X FC Porto – UEFA Europa League
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Lazio – Winning probability: 50.36% | Fair line: 1.99
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.40% | Fair line: 4.9
🔴 FC Porto – Winning probability: 29.24% | Fair line: 3.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lazio x FC Porto is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217748 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lazio x FC Porto

Is betting on Lazio worth it?

🔵 Lazio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$100.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Porto?

🔴 FC Porto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $629.30
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$80.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x FC Porto

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x FC Porto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Lazio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Lazio.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x FC Porto

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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