Ludogorets Razgrad x PAOK Salonika Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Europa League
| 📅 11/12/2025 17:45 |
 Ludogorets Razgrad3.30 |
X 3.40 |
PAOK Salonika  2.10 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ludogorets Razgrad x PAOK Salonika:
🔮 PAOK Salonika wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PAOK Salonika, you can win up to $1050.00!
The main points for the tip for Ludogorets Razgrad x PAOK Salonika:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ludogorets Razgrad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $152.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on PAOK Salonika in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $435.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ludogorets Razgrad scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, PAOK Salonika scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, PAOK Salonika conceded at least 1 goal(s).
🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Ludogorets Razgrad vs PAOK Salonika?
Lets analyze the match between Ludogorets Razgrad and PAOK Salonika in the UEFA Europa League, which will be played at the Huvepharma Arena, home of Ludogorets. 🏟️
📈 Ludogorets has a solid home performance, averaging 2 goals scored per game and 1 conceded, along with controlling possession (58%) and creating more chances (15 shots per game). PAOK shows an even higher offensive average away from home (3 goals per game), but concedes more goals (2 on average) and has slightly less possession (55%). This indicates a balanced matchup, but with a slight offensive edge to the visitor.
📰 Recent news shows Ludogorets remains strong in the Bulgarian and European scene even after losing their main striker Igor Thiago. The team maintains good recent results like a victory against Botev Vratsa. PAOK also comes in good form after an important Greek league win against Aris Thessaloniki and relies on young talents to keep their good streak.
Analyzing the median odds offered by bookmakers: Ludogorets to win at 3.09, draw at 3.39, and PAOK to win at 2.15; the normalized implied probabilities are approximately: 32% for Ludogorets win, 29% for draw, 39% for PAOK win. Considering statistical data showing balance but a slight offensive superiority of the visitors combined with the home advantage for Ludogorets, my adjusted estimate would be close to: Ludogorets ~33%, Draw ~28%, PAOK ~39%.
The final odds analysis shows a positive expected value only for betting on the visitors win according to the Bets Kenya model (+10.4%), while bets on the home team or draw have a negative EV.
Suggestion: I agree with the Bets Kenya model that there is value in betting on PAOK Salonikas victory due to their offensive strength away from home combined with recent good performances both nationally and internationally.
Extra tip: Despite the technical advantage of the visitors in offensive stats, stay alert to the extra motivation the home team might have playing in front of their fans at the Huvepharma Arena — this could further balance the forces on the field!
⚽️💰 Good luck with your bets! 💰⚽️
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Ludogorets Razgrad x PAOK Salonika?
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Analysis from Ludogorets Razgrad x PAOK Salonika for the UEFA Europa League – 11 of December
🏟️ Ludogorets Razgrad X PAOK Salonika – UEFA Europa League
📅 11 of December, 2025 – 17:45
🔵 Ludogorets Razgrad – Winning probability: 25.71% | Fair line: 3.89
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.40% | Fair line: 4.9
🔴 PAOK Salonika – Winning probability: 53.89% | Fair line: 1.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Ludogorets Razgrad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ludogorets Razgrad and PAOK Salonika.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1451823 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Latest news on the match between Ludogorets Razgrad and PAOK Salonika
Ludogorets Razgrad: Ludogorets Razgrad remains the dominant force in Bulgarian football, having secured several consecutive Parva Liga titles, along with recent victories in the Bulgarian Cup and Super Cup, and continues competing in European qualifiers. The clubs most notable recent transfer was the sale of Brazilian forward Igor Thiago to Club Brugge in summer 2023 for a record €8 million, after contributing a total of 32 goals and assists during his tenure. The upcoming domestic schedule includes a match against Slavia Sofia in the Parva Liga on December 8, 2025, at 15:30 UTC, while they recently defeated Botev Vratsa 2-0 in the league and drew 1-1 with Slavia Sofia in a previous encounter.
PAOK Salonika: PAOK Salonika is preparing for a crucial group stage match in the UEFA Europa League against Ludogorets, scheduled for December 11, 2025, at 17:45 UTC. On the domestic front, they continue their strong campaign in the Greek Super League after a 3-1 victory over local rival Aris Thessaloniki; led by coach Răzvan Lucescu, the team has integrated promising young player Giannis Konstantelias (22 years old, shirt 65), who received a 6.6 rating in the match against Aris, and is also preparing for an upcoming league match against Panetolikos, aiming to solidify their top position.
Table analysis for the match between Ludogorets Razgrad and PAOK Salonika
No table analysis was provided for this match.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ludogorets Razgrad x PAOK Salonika
Is it worth betting on Ludogorets Razgrad?
🔵 Ludogorets Razgrad: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$142.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $480.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.
Should you bet on PAOK Salonika?
🔴 PAOK Salonika: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $594.00;
- And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$134.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ludogorets Razgrad x PAOK Salonika
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Ludogorets Razgrad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ludogorets Razgrad x PAOK Salonika
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Ludogorets Razgrad, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Ludogorets Razgrad.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ludogorets Razgrad x PAOK Salonika
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
