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Home ยป Predictions ยป Europa League ยป Midtjylland x Fenerbahce Betting tips for January 30 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 30 January 2025, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
Midtjylland Midtjylland
PREDICTION Fenerbahce Wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Fenerbahce Fenerbahce
ODD: @2.42 Don't miss this prediction!

Midtjylland x Fenerbahce Betting tips for January 30 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Midtjylland x Fenerbahce, Thursday, 30/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 30/1/2025
20:00
Midtjylland Midtjylland
3.00
X
3.45
Fenerbahce Fenerbahce
2.42

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Midtjylland x Fenerbahce:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Fenerbahce wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fenerbahce, you can win up to $1210.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Midtjylland x Fenerbahce:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Midtjylland in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $102.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fenerbahce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-132.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Midtjylland scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Fenerbahce scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Fenerbahce matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Fenerbahce has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Midtjylland x Fenerbahce for the UEFA Europa League โ€“ 30 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Midtjylland X Fenerbahce โ€“ UEFA Europa League
๐Ÿ“… 30 of January, 2025 โ€“ 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Midtjylland โ€“ Winning probability: 13.20% | Fair line: 7.57
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 22.71% | Fair line: 4.4
๐Ÿ”ด Fenerbahce โ€“ Winning probability: 64.09% | Fair line: 1.56
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +1.0 Midtjylland
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Midtjylland and Fenerbahce.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1253955 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1ร—2 market for Midtjylland x Fenerbahce

Is it worth betting on Midtjylland?

๐Ÿ”ต Midtjylland: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times โ€“ having a profit of $260.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times โ€“ having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$610.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times โ€“ having a profit of $563.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times โ€“ having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$206.50.

Is betting on Fenerbahce worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Fenerbahce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $908.80
  • And would lose other 360 times โ€“ having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$548.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Midtjylland x Fenerbahce

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +1.0 Midtjylland
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Midtjylland x Fenerbahce

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Midtjylland and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Midtjylland.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: -0.0 Fenerbahce.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Midtjylland x Fenerbahce

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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