Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce Betting tips for February 26 in UEFA Europa League
| 📅 26/2/2026 20:00 |
 Nottm Forest1.75 |
X 3.80 |
Fenerbahce  4.33 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce:
🔮 Fenerbahce wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fenerbahce, you can win up to $2165.00!
Some important points for the tip for Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fenerbahce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $139.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Fenerbahce scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Nottm Forest matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Fenerbahce has not lost any of them.
🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Nottm Forest vs Fenerbahce?
Lets analyze the match between Nottingham Forest and Fenerbahçe at City Ground, the traditional stadium of Nottingham Forest, which certainly gives an advantage to the English team. 🏟️
📈 Nottingham Forest is in a delicate situation in the Premier League, fighting against relegation and needing positive results to stay in the top tier. Despite this, they have been showing offensive potential with an average of 1 goal per game at home recently and a relatively solid defense (0 goals conceded on average). Fenerbahçe is on a winning streak in Turkeys Süper Lig, occupying second place with a strong run of victories and a high average of goals scored (2 per away game), but recently suffered a heavy defeat exactly to Forest in the Europa League.
The median odds indicate clear favoritism for Nottingham Forest (1.75) against a draw (3.78) and a less likely Fenerbahçe win (4.31). Normalizing the implied probabilities of these odds gives approximately: 53% chance for Forest to win, 24% for a draw, and 23% for Fenerbahçe to win.
Analyzing recent team statistics:
– Forest has a balanced home performance with few goals conceded.
– Fenerbahçe is offensively strong even away but concedes more goals.
– Ball possession clearly favors the Turks (56%), but this hasnt translated into consistent results against strong opponents like Nottingham itself.
The Bets Kenya model suggests high value only on the away win (+60% EV), but this forecast seems to underestimate Nottinghams defensive strength at City Ground and their extra motivation for fighting relegation locally — besides the natural advantage of playing in their usual stadium.
My analysis indicates that fair probabilities should favor the English team even more due to the combination of local positive result pressure, recent favorable history against this specific opponent, and effective defensive control:
- Nottingham Forest Win: ~55%
- Draw: ~25%
- Fenerbahçe Win: ~20%
Thus, fair odds would be something close to 1.82 for Forest victory, 4.00 for a draw, and 5.00 for the visitors win — values that indicate little or no value in the final odds currently offered by bookmakers.
The models suggested bet is risky because it ignores important factors such as the intense local motivation of the English team under new coach Vitor Pereira; besides, despite their good campaigns in Turkey, they recently lost in this direct Europa League encounter away.
Final suggestion:
- Bet on win or draw for Nottingham Forest as a safer strategy considering all factors;
- Betting directly on Fenerbahçe does not present a realistic positive expected value;
- Be cautious with bets based solely on final odds without considering tactical/motivational context of the teams!
📰 Recent news shows Vitor Pereira took over Nottingham recently and has already achieved good European results while desperately fighting to stay in the Premier League; meanwhile, Fenerbahçe is internally motivated but suffered a tough defeat in this same continental competition against the current rival – this reinforces my view of a tactical balance favorable to the English team playing at their traditional stadium City Ground.
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Analysis from Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce for the UEFA Europa League – 26 of February
🏟️ Nottm Forest X Fenerbahce – UEFA Europa League
📅 26 of February, 2026 – 20:00
🔵 Nottm Forest – Winning probability: 52.96% | Fair line: 1.89
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.64% | Fair line: 4.62
🔴 Fenerbahce – Winning probability: 25.39% | Fair line: 3.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nottm Forest
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Latest news about Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest, now under the management of Vitor Pereira who took over a few days before the 3-0 victory in the Europa League against Fenerbahçe, is struggling to stay in the Premier League, sitting 17th and three points above the relegation zone as of mid-February 2026; the team showed potential with Murillos long-range goal and a brace in the second half from Igor Jesus, assisted by Morgan Gibbs-White in Istanbul, but returned to the City Ground to lose 1-0 to Liverpool on February 22, after Alexis Mac Allisters injury-time winning goal was confirmed by VAR, leaving Forest dangerously close to relegation despite the managers confidence that owner Evangelos Marinakis trusts his plan to secure survival.
Fenerbahçe: Fenerbahçe is currently second in Turkeys Süper Lig after a streak of four consecutive league wins, including a commanding victory over Trabzonspor, where Marco Asensio stood out and Mauro Icardi scored a hat-trick; however, they suffered a 3-0 home defeat to Nottingham Forest in the first leg of the Europa League qualifiers on February 19, 2026, with goals from Murillo, Igor Jesus, and Morgan Gibbs-White. They will face Kasımpaşa in the league on February 23, 2026, with only minor injury concerns, Archie Brown listed as doubtful.
UEFA Europa League table analysis for Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce
Nottm Forest: The team is in 13th place with 14 points and is fighting to secure its spot in the qualifying playoffs. This game is very important for Nottm Forest, as a victory could solidify their position and even improve their standing on the table, avoiding surprises in the final rounds. The direct confrontation against Fenerbahce, which is right behind, makes this match essential to keep the team on the path to important spots in the championship. ⚽🔥
Fenerbahce: With 12 points and in 19th place, Fenerbahce needs a win to try to surpass Nottm Forest and move up the table towards the playoffs. The difference is small, making this game decisive for the Turkish teams ambitions in the competition. A positive result here could reignite chances of qualification, making this match strategic and highly relevant for Fenerbahce. 🇹🇷💪
Summary: The match is important for both teams, as it will directly influence the qualification for the UEFA Europa League playoffs. It will be a highly contested confrontation, worth essential points for the future in the competition. 🔥⚽
Odds and handicap movements for Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce
We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce.
Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Nottm Forest had a great Decreased of -12.40%: the market opened with odds of @1.75 for Nottm Forest and now the odds are @1.533.
📊 The odds for Draw had a slight Raised of 7.89%: the market opened with odds of @3.8 for Draw and now the odds are @4.1.
📊 The odds for Fenerbahce had a huge Raised of 38.47%: the market opened with odds of @4.333 for Fenerbahce and now the odds are @6.0.
📊 The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.75 is now at -1.00 for Nottm Forest.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.75 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1487572 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is betting on Nottm Forest worth it?
🔵 Nottm Forest: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $397.50;
- And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $616.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$164.00.
Should you bet on Fenerbahce?
🔴 Fenerbahce: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $832.50;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$82.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nottm Forest
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Nottm Forest and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Nottm Forest.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Fenerbahce.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce
Which team is the favourite in Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce?
From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is Nottm Forest, with a win probability of 52.96%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!
Who will win: Nottm Forest or Fenerbahce?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Nottm Forest is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 52.96%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Nottm Forest beating Fenerbahce today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Nottm Forest would take victory in roughly 53 of them versus Fenerbahce.
What are the chances of Fenerbahce beating Nottm Forest today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Fenerbahce would take victory in roughly 25 of them against Nottm Forest.
Which team should I bet on: Nottm Forest or Fenerbahce?
Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: Fenerbahce Wins, with an expected value of 52.28%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!
How much is Nottm Forest paying today? See what you can win by betting on Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce:
The average odds for Nottm Forest to beat Fenerbahce today are 1.75. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh1750.00 if Nottm Forest wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Fenerbahce paying today? See what you can win by betting on Nottm Forest x Fenerbahce:
The odds for Fenerbahce to beat Nottm Forest today are around 4.33. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh4330.00 if Fenerbahce wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
