Panathinaikos x Viktoria Plzen Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Europa League
| 📅 11/12/2025 20:00 |
 Panathinaikos1.88 |
X 3.58 |
Viktoria Plzen  4.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Panathinaikos x Viktoria Plzen:
🔮 Panathinaikos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Panathinaikos, you can win up to $940.00!
Important information for your tip for Panathinaikos x Viktoria Plzen:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Panathinaikos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Viktoria Plzen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $618.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Panathinaikos scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Viktoria Plzen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Viktoria Plzen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
🤖 ChatGPT analysis on the prediction for Panathinaikos vs Viktoria Plzen:
Lets analyze the match between Panathinaikos and Viktoria Plzen that will take place at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, home of Panathinaikos, a historic venue for the Greek club. 🏟️
📈 Looking at recent stats, Panathinaikos has shown strength playing at home with 4 wins and only 1 loss in their last 5 home games, averaging 1.8 goals per game and conceding about 1 goal per match. They also maintain a good shot average (11 per game) and balanced possession (49%). Viktoria Plzen, on the other hand, has a solid away performance in the Europa League, with just one loss in their last five away games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and about 1.6 goals conceded per match.
The median odds indicate favoritism for Panathinaikos (1.91), followed by a draw (3.58), and Viktoria Plzen win (3.95). Converting these odds into implied probabilities gives approximately: Panathinaikos win ~51%, draw ~27%, Viktoria Plzen win ~22%. Considering the balanced offensive stats but clear advantage for Panathinaikos playing at their traditional stadium — where they perform well — my fair estimate would be close to: Greek team win with a probability between 50-55%, a draw around 25-30%, and an away win below 25%.
📰 Recent news: Panathinaikos has been alternating good results in the national league despite a recent loss against Olympiacos; there are no major squad changes that could negatively impact their home performance so far this European season. Conversely, Viktoria Plzen is in good form in the Czech league but suffered a key setback against Manchester United in the Europa League due to a crucial defensive error; this could affect the visiting team’s morale.
Analyzing the expected values calculated by the Bets Kenya model — which suggests positive value only for betting on the home team with EV +14% — I fully agree! The final odds for Panathinaikos’ victory are higher than my estimated fair odds (~1.85 vs ~1.62), indicating value in this bet.
My recommendation is to bet on Panathinaikos victory, as they have a clear advantage playing at Apostolos Nikolaidis, show better recent form at home, and have strong local support in a competitive but balanced European scenario.
Final tip: Avoid betting on a draw or away win here due to the low expected value in these options based on current stats, recent news, and the teams’ historical context in this tournament.
Good luck! 🍀⚽
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Analysis from Panathinaikos x Viktoria Plzen for the UEFA Europa League – 11 of December
🏟️ Panathinaikos X Viktoria Plzen – UEFA Europa League
📅 11 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Panathinaikos – Winning probability: 67.36% | Fair line: 1.48
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.76% | Fair line: 5.06
🔴 Viktoria Plzen – Winning probability: 12.88% | Fair line: 7.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Panathinaikos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on Panathinaikos x Viktoria Plzen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1451823 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Latest news on the match between Panathinaikos and Viktoria Plzen
Panathinaikos: Panathinaikos is competing in the Greek Super League 2025-26, having suffered a 1-0 defeat against Olympiacos on November 5th, but bouncing back with a 3-2 victory over OFI on February 1st and a 1-0 win against AEK on December 22nd. Midfielder Zeca mainly played as a substitute and did not score, while defender Vasilios Lavdas remains a regular starter, also without goals this season. The teams next league match will be at home against Volos NFC, and they are also expected to face AE Kifisia at the end of December. As of early December 2025, there are no confirmed major signings or departures.
Viktoria Plzeň: Viktoria Plzeň entered December in good form, having achieved a 3-0 home victory over 1. FC Slovácko in the Czech First League on December 6, 2025, placing them fifth in the table. In the recent Europa League match, they lost 2-1 to Manchester United after a costly mistake by Andre Onana that allowed the visitors first goal. The next European challenge for the Czech team is scheduled for December 11, 2025, when they will host Panathinaikos in the Europa League. Striker Rafiu Durosinmi, who received a 6.6 rating in the win against Slovácko, remains in contention for the Nigerian squad at the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations.
Table analysis for the match between Panathinaikos and Viktoria Plzen
No table analysis was provided for this match.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Panathinaikos x Viktoria Plzen
Is it worth betting on Panathinaikos?
🔵 Panathinaikos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 670 times – profiting $589.60;
- And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$259.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $516.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$284.00.
Should you bet on Viktoria Plzen?
🔴 Viktoria Plzen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$480.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Panathinaikos x Viktoria Plzen
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Panathinaikos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Panathinaikos x Viktoria Plzen
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Panathinaikos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Panathinaikos.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Viktoria Plzen.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Panathinaikos x Viktoria Plzen
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
