PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo Betting tips for February 19 in UEFA Europa League
| 📅 19/2/2026 17:45 |
 PAOK Salonika2.40 |
X 3.20 |
Celta Vigo  2.90 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo:
🔮 PAOK Salonika wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PAOK Salonika, you can win up to $1200.00!
Important information for your tip for PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo:
👉 If you had bet $100 on PAOK Salonika in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $127.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Celta Vigo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Celta Vigo has not lost any of them.
🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for PAOK Salonika vs Celta Vigo?
⚽ The match between PAOK Salonika and Celta Vigo promises to be highly competitive at the iconic Toumba Stadium, home of PAOK since 1959, known for its intense atmosphere and passionate fan support. The Greek team has shown excellent home performance in recent matches, averaging 2 goals scored and only 0 conceded, along with an active attack with 11 goals in the last five home games. Meanwhile, Celta Vigo has a more balanced away record, but with a lower average of goals (1 scored and 1 conceded) and a higher number of fouls committed.
📈 In the Greek national league table, PAOK is in third place fighting for the title against Olympiacos, which boosts motivation to maintain good form also in the Europa League. Celta Vigo has been alternating results in LaLiga EA Sports and recently strengthened its squad with key signings like Álvaro Núñez and Matías Vecino to improve performance.
📰 News indicates that PAOK is focused on maintaining a strong campaign both in the local league and the Europa League. The pressure to win at home is high due to fierce local rivalry and the hostile environment of Toumba Stadium. On the other hand, Celta is trying to bounce back after recent draws while integrating new players into the team.
Analyzing the median odds (2.4 for PAOK win; 3.2 for draw; 2.9 for Celta win) adjusted by bookmaker margins, we have approximate fair probabilities: PAOK win ~40%, draw ~30%, Celta win ~30%. Considering PAOK’s superior offensive stats playing in their traditional stadium — where they rarely lose — plus the extra motivation from their league position and the favorable environment at Toumba Stadium, I see clear value in betting on the Greeks’ victory.
The Bets Kenya model suggests predicted odds lower for the home win (~2.09), indicating confidence in this outcome with a significant positive EV (+15%). I fully agree! The draw or away win have negative expected values according to the model — reinforcing my recommendation against these options.
My tip: Bet on the PAOK victory because they have a clear tactical advantage playing at home in a stadium that’s tough for visitors like Toumba 🏟️🔥 Additionally, the data shows solid Greek defense combined with efficient attack in recent local games — crucial factors in a European knockout where every goal counts!
Always remember: responsible betting is essential! Good luck! 🍀
Looking for another bookie to bet on PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo for the UEFA Europa League – 19 of February
🏟️ PAOK Salonika X Celta Vigo – UEFA Europa League
📅 19 of February, 2026 – 17:45
🔵 PAOK Salonika – Winning probability: 43.17% | Fair line: 2.32
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.67% | Fair line: 4.84
🔴 Celta Vigo – Winning probability: 36.16% | Fair line: 2.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 PAOK Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Latest news about PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo
PAOK Thessaloniki: The main team of PAOK Thessaloniki is currently in third place in the Stoiximan Super League 2025-26 and will face title contenders Olympiacos at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium on March 8, 2026. Meanwhile, the clubs Europa League campaign continues with the first leg of the round of 16 at home against Celta de Vigo on February 19, 2026, at Toumba Stadium; the womens team, fresh from an 8-0 victory over AO Trikala 2011, is scheduled to play against Nees Atromitos on February 21, 2026, and PAOK B, the reserve team, is preparing for upcoming matches with a squad including forwards like Abde Raihani and Mahamadou Balde and goalkeeper Antonis Stergiakis.
Celta de Vigo: Celta de Vigo has been in the news for a mix of on-field results and off-field developments, having recently opened a 1-0 lead at halftime against Espanyol in LaLiga EA Sports with a goal that put the team ahead before the break. Earlier in the week, the two teams finished in a 2-2 draw, with Iago Aspas celebrating a goal for the Galicians and Fer López earning a foul. The club also announced the signing and presentation of defender Álvaro Núñez from Elche, highlighted the debut of new signing Matías Vecino, and saw midfielder Marco Garcés praise the quality of Spanish youth academies. The club president, Caballero, defended Vigos inclusion as a host city for the 2030 World Cup, and the team continues to prepare for upcoming league fixtures.
Table analysis for the match between PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo
PAOK Salonika: PAOK is in 17th place with 12 points, fighting to improve their position and secure a spot in the UEFA Europa League playoffs. The gap to the higher positions is still small, making this match very important for the team to climb the standings and achieve a better placement in the tournament. A victory could motivate the campaigns continuation and bring them closer to the qualification zone for the next stages.
Celta Vigo: Celta Vigo is slightly better positioned, in 16th place with 13 points, also seeking qualification for the playoffs. Although slightly ahead of PAOK, the table is quite tight and every point is crucial to avoid losing the chance to advance. Therefore, this game is decisive for Celta to maintain their advantage over the direct rival and secure their place in the final stages of the competition.
Summary: This match is important for both teams, as they are close in the standings and fighting for a spot in the UEFA Europa League playoffs. The confrontation becomes a direct duel that can determine who advances more confidently and who will need to put in extra effort in the upcoming matches. ⚽🔥
Odds and handicap movements for PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo
It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo.
Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of -1.96%, the odds for PAOK Salonika are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.55 for PAOK Salonika and now the odds are @2.5.
📊 With a variation of 1.56%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.2 for Draw and now the odds are @3.25.
📊 With a variation of 3.57%, the odds for Celta Vigo are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.8 for Celta Vigo and now the odds are @2.9.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.00 for PAOK Salonika is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.25 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the Match Odds market for PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PAOK Salonika and Celta Vigo.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1482984 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is betting on PAOK Salonika worth it?
🔵 PAOK Salonika: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 430 times – profiting $602.00;
- And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$32.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $462.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Celta Vigo?
🔴 Celta Vigo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $684.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$44.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 PAOK Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 PAOK Salonika, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 PAOK Salonika.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 PAOK Salonika.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo
Who is the favourite: PAOK Salonika or Celta Vigo?
Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is PAOK Salonika, with an estimated chance of 43.17%. Remember: surprises happen in football!
Who will win: PAOK Salonika or Celta Vigo?
Keep in mind: there are no certainties in sports betting and we cannot guarantee a winner. But based on our analysis, we believe PAOK Salonika has the higher chance to win this game, with a probability of 43.17%. If you bet on PAOK Salonika, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of PAOK Salonika beating Celta Vigo today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect PAOK Salonika to win approximately 43 of them against Celta Vigo.
What are the chances of Celta Vigo beating PAOK Salonika today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Celta Vigo would take victory in roughly 36 of them against PAOK Salonika.
Which team should I bet on: PAOK Salonika or Celta Vigo?
A successful bettor looks for positive expected value opportunities. Based on our analysis, we believe the best bet for this match is: PAOK Salonika wins, with a positive expected value of 7.76%. Bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: avoid staking more than 2% of your funds!
How much is PAOK Salonika paying today? See what you can win by betting on PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo:
The average odds for PAOK Salonika to beat Celta Vigo today are 2.40. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2400.00 if PAOK Salonika wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Celta Vigo paying today? See what you can win by betting on PAOK Salonika x Celta Vigo:
The average odds for Celta Vigo to beat PAOK Salonika today are 2.90. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2900.00 if Celta Vigo wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
