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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 12 December 2024, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
PREDICTION Real Sociedad wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev
ODD: @1.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev, Thursday, 12/12/2024
📅 12/12/2024
20:00
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
1.25
X
5.50
Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev
11.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev:

🔮 Real Sociedad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Sociedad, you can win up to $625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Sociedad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $266.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Dynamo Kiev in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-233.0.
👉 Real Sociedad did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Real Sociedad scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Real Sociedad matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Real Sociedad is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Dynamo Kiev has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev for the UEFA Europa League – 12 of December

🏟️ Real Sociedad X Dynamo Kiev – UEFA Europa League
📅 12 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Real Sociedad – Winning probability: 86.98% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.58% | Fair line: 8.63
🔴 Dynamo Kiev – Winning probability: 1.43% | Fair line: 69.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Real Sociedad
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1235879 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev

Should you bet on Real Sociedad?

🔵 Real Sociedad: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $217.50;
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$87.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$340.00.

Should you bet on Dynamo Kiev?

🔴 Dynamo Kiev: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $100.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$890.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Real Sociedad
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Real Sociedad and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Real Sociedad.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Sociedad x Dynamo Kiev

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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