Roma x Athletic Bilbao Betting tips for March 6 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Roma x Athletic Bilbao, Thursday, 6/3/2025

📅 6/3/2025 20:00

Roma 2.25

X 3.30

Athletic Bilbao 3.19

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Roma x Athletic Bilbao:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Roma x Athletic Bilbao

The main points for the tip for Roma x Athletic Bilbao: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $176.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Roma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Roma matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Athletic Bilbao conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Roma is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Roma x Athletic Bilbao?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Roma x Athletic Bilbao, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Roma x Athletic Bilbao for the UEFA Europa League – 6 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Roma x Athletic Bilbao right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1275673 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Roma x Athletic Bilbao

Should you bet on Roma?

🔵 Roma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $512.50
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$77.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$43.00.

Is betting on Athletic Bilbao worth it?

🔴 Athletic Bilbao: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $678.90;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$11.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Roma x Athletic Bilbao

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma x Athletic Bilbao

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Roma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Roma.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma x Athletic Bilbao

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.