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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Union Saint Gilloise x Roma Betting tips for November 7 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 17h45 UEFA Europa League
Union Saint Gilloise Union Saint Gilloise
PREDICTION Union Saint Gilloise wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Roma Roma
ODD: @2.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Union Saint Gilloise x Roma Betting tips for November 7 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Union Saint Gilloise x Roma, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
17:45
Union Saint Gilloise Union Saint Gilloise
2.85
X
3.32
Roma Roma
2.46

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Union Saint Gilloise x Roma:

🔮 Union Saint Gilloise wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Saint Gilloise, you can win up to $1425.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Union Saint Gilloise x Roma:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Saint Gilloise in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-184.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Roma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Roma conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Roma is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 away matches, it had at least 64.00% of possession.

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Summary

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Analysis from Union Saint Gilloise x Roma for the UEFA Europa League – 7 of November

🏟️ Union Saint Gilloise X Roma – UEFA Europa League
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 17:45
🔵 Union Saint Gilloise – Winning probability: 54.98% | Fair line: 1.82
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.07% | Fair line: 5.24
🔴 Roma – Winning probability: 25.95% | Fair line: 3.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Union Saint Gilloise
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union Saint Gilloise x Roma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217827 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Union Saint Gilloise x Roma

Should you bet on Union Saint Gilloise?

🔵 Union Saint Gilloise: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $1017.50;
  • And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$567.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $440.80
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$369.20.

Is it worth betting on Roma?

🔴 Roma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $379.60;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$360.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Union Saint Gilloise x Roma

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Union Saint Gilloise
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Saint Gilloise x Roma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Union Saint Gilloise and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Union Saint Gilloise.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Union Saint Gilloise.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Saint Gilloise x Roma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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