VfB Stuttgart x Celtic Betting tips for February 26 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for VfB Stuttgart x Celtic, Thursday, 26/2/2026

📅 26/2/2026 17:45

VfB Stuttgart 1.40

X 5.25

Celtic 6.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for VfB Stuttgart x Celtic:

🔮 Celtic wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Celtic, you can win up to $3250.00!

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Some important points for the tip for VfB Stuttgart x Celtic:

👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $98.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Celtic in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-118.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Celtic scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Celtic matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Celtic conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 VfB Stuttgart is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Celtic has not lost any of them.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Celtic:

Lets analyze the match between VfB Stuttgart and Celtic in the UEFA Europa League, which will be played at MHP Arena, Stuttgarts home ground. The German team has shown solid performance at home, with 4 wins and only 1 draw in their last 5 games at their stadium, averaging 2.2 goals per game and conceding just over 1 goal per match. Additionally, Stuttgart dominates possession (61%) and creates more offensive chances (19 shots per game) compared to Celtic.

Celtic has been facing recent difficulties away from home in the same European competition and also in the local league, with only 3 wins in their last 5 away games. The team suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat to Stuttgart in the first leg of the Europa League playoffs, making their mission quite challenging for this second match.

The median odds indicate clear favoritism for Stuttgart (1.41), with a draw (5.25) and Celtic win (6.25) being less likely options according to betting houses.

📰 News: VfB Stuttgart arrives confident after winning the first match against Celtic convincingly away from home and is playing at their usual stadium without serious suspensions besides Jeff Chabot being suspended; Celtic faces serious issues such as key injuries and a turbulent moment in the Scottish season after recent defeats including the heavy loss to the Germans.

📈 Table analysis: Stuttgart is in an intermediate position in the Bundesliga but aims to advance strongly in the Europa League to boost morale; Celtic struggles to stay competitive both nationally and internationally, urgently needing to reverse this negative situation that directly affects their confidence.

Based on the median odds, we calculate normalized fair probabilities: Stuttgart win ~66%, draw ~18%, Celtic win ~16%. This further reinforces the expected superiority of the Germans in this match.

Fair odds analysis suggests a clear positive value in betting on Stuttgart considering their recent statistical dominance combined with the advantage built in the first game — our calculation indicates an expected value over +20% for this option while others show negative or very low values.

Final suggestion: I fully agree with the bet suggested by the Clube da Aposta model in favor of Stuttgarts victory 🏆! It is a safe bet with a good expected value (+23%), reflecting not only the statistics but also the current conditions of the teams highlighted by recent news.
Betting on a draw or away win does not present value at this moment given the available data.
Lets go together! ⚽🔥

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on VfB Stuttgart x Celtic?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on VfB Stuttgart x Celtic, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from VfB Stuttgart x Celtic for the UEFA Europa League – 26 of February

Latest news about VfB Stuttgart x Celtic

VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart entered the Europa League playoffs with a commanding 4-1 away victory against Celtic Glasgow, securing a comfortable lead for the second leg in Stuttgart. In the Bundesliga, the team drew 3-3 with 1. FC Heidenheim amid a storm of controversies over two disallowed goals by Ermedin Demirovic, a contested offside decision later clarified by the DFB as correct, and a serious injury to midfielder Angelo Stiller who had to leave and raised concerns about the severity of the injury. Despite the drama, the club also secured a spot in the DFB-Pokal semi-finals, where they will face Freiburg at home.

Celtic: Celtics season entered a turbulent period, with Martin O’Neill’s team suffering a 2-1 home defeat to Hibernian on February 22, 2026, a match that saw Auston Trusty sent off and a late penalty appeal by Liam Scales rejected, leaving the champions six points behind leaders Hearts and three points from the top with a game in hand before the crucial Old Firm derby at Ibrox. Just three days earlier, the club had suffered a 4-1 defeat to Stuttgart in the first leg of the Europa League playoffs, a match interrupted by protests with toy balls thrown by fans and marked by boos directed at goalkeeper Kasper Schmeichel, prompting O’Neill to condemn the fans’ actions and defend his squad, while acknowledging the need for a response. Prior to these setbacks, Celtic had secured a dramatic 2-1 victory over Livingston on February 11, highlighted by the last-minute winning goal from Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain on his debut, but O’Neill remains confident, insisting the title race is still alive despite recent points lost.

Table analysis for the game between VfB Stuttgart and Celtic

VfB Stuttgart: This game is quite important for Stuttgart. With 15 points and in 11th place, the team is in the Qualification Playoffs zone, so a victory could help improve their position and secure a better phase in the Europa League. They cannot afford to slip up to avoid losing ground in this final stretch.

Celtic: For Celtic, the importance is even greater. With 11 points and in 21st place, the team is more threatened and needs to use this match as an opportunity to climb the table and try to keep some chance in the competition. A win could be that boost for recovery!

Summary: An important match for both teams, especially for Celtic, which is in a more delicate situation and needs to react to keep dreaming in the Europa League.

How the handicap and odds moved for VfB Stuttgart x Celtic

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between VfB Stuttgart x Celtic.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Celtic

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between VfB Stuttgart and Celtic.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1487572 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it a good idea to bet on VfB Stuttgart?

🔵 VfB Stuttgart: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – profiting $280.00;
• And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $595.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$265.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Celtic?

🔴 Celtic: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $935.00;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$105.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Stuttgart x Celtic

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Celtic

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 VfB Stuttgart, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 VfB Stuttgart.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 VfB Stuttgart.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Stuttgart x Celtic

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for VfB Stuttgart x Celtic