Young Boys x Lille Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Young Boys x Lille, Thursday, 11/12/2025

📅 11/12/2025 17:45

Young Boys 4.40

X 4.00

Lille 1.68

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Young Boys x Lille:

🔮 Lille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille, you can win up to $840.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Young Boys x Lille:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Young Boys in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-6.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-147.0.
👉 In the last 6 Lille matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Young Boys vs Lille?

Lets analyze the match between Young Boys and Lille in the UEFA Europa League, which will take place at Stadion Wankdorf, the official home of Young Boys. This naturally gives an advantage to the Swiss team, which is used to the pitch and environment.

📈 Table and morale analysis: Young Boys has been dominating the Swiss Super League, leading with an undefeated streak of eight games. Lille is on a high in Ligue 1, occupying fourth place after four consecutive wins. Both teams are motivated and in good form, but Lille seems to have a more intense rhythm recently.

Statistically speaking:

• Young Boys: average goals scored at home is 13 in the last 5 games (2.6 per game), conceding 6 (1.2 per game). They have good ball possession (55%) and take many shots (13 per game).
• Lille: away from home, scored fewer goals in the last 5 games (3 goals), but has a high overall league average with 10 goals in the last five league games; they have higher away ball possession (61%) but shoot less on target compared to the opponent.

From the median odds, the implied normalized probabilities are: Young Boys win ~19%, draw ~21%, Lille win ~60%. Considering Young Boys strong offensive stats at home against Lilles weaker defensive consistency away, I would adjust to something like: Young Boys win ~25%, draw ~25%, Lille win ~50%.

Calculating fair odds based on this: fair odds for Swiss victory would be around 4.0; draw close to 4.0; and Lille around 2.0 – showing that the market odds favor the visitor much more.

The news analysis reinforces this view:

📰 News:
Young Boys are strong in the national championship and have already secured a spot in the Champions League – this shows internal confidence despite facing tough opponents.
Lille is also in good form with important signings like Ethan Mbappé boosting their recent attack – but playing away might be a bigger challenge against the home crowd.

Analyzing the expected values calculated by Bets Kenya model shows positive value only on the away win (+31%). However, this value seems to overestimate Lilles favoritism considering recent data from both teams playing in their national leagues and especially at Wankdorf stadium where the home team has a strong history.

Therefore, my suggestion is to be cautious with simple bets on the away victory despite the low odds offered by the market.
An interesting bet could be considering alternative markets like both teams to score or Asian handicap favoring the Swiss young team given their recent offensive power at home.
Betting directly on the visitors win seems too risky given the strength shown by the home team at this specific stadium!

Final suggestion: Avoid betting solely on the away win despite good odds, as there is a high risk ignored by the current model.
Value additional markets or wait for better odds in future markets before making a big bet here! ⚽️💡

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Analysis from Young Boys x Lille for the UEFA Europa League – 11 of December

When the best bet on Young Boys x Lille is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1451823 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news about Young Boys x Lille

BSC Young Boys: BSC Young Boys remains the dominant force in Swiss football for the 2025-26 season, currently leading the Swiss Super League under coach Thomas Häberli and already qualified for the UEFA Champions League group stage after a series of strong results, including a 3-1 victory over FC Basel that extended their unbeaten streak in the league to eight matches; the clubs U-19 team has also been performing well, drawing 1-1 with FC Winterthur U19 in the last Elite League match and preparing for the upcoming game against Team Ticino U19 on February 14, 2026, while recent transfer market moves brought the arrival of forward Kelechi Nwakali from Portugal and the departure of midfielder Christopher Lungoyi to the German Bundesliga, with Jordan Siebatcheu leading the main team’s scoring chart and Michel Aebischer being the backbone in midfield.

Lille: Lille is in fourth place in Ligue 1 after a recent streak of four consecutive wins, highlighted by a 1-0 home victory against Olympique de Marseille on December 5, 2025, where newly signed PSG player Ethan Mbappé scored the decisive goal and goalkeeper Berke Özer kept a clean sheet; the club’s attack has been fueled by Hamza Igamane, who scored in each of the last six matches, while emerging talents continue to attract great interest – Leny Yoro is being courted by Manchester United, Liverpool, and Real Madrid, and midfielder Ayyoub Bouaddi has caught the attention of Arsenal and Chelsea, with Lille maintaining firm its contract despite reported offers exceeding €50 million.

Table analysis for the match between Young Boys x Lille

No table analysis was provided for this match.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Young Boys x Lille

Is it worth betting on Young Boys?

🔵 Young Boys: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $272.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$648.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $390.00;
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$480.00.

Is betting on Lille worth it?

🔴 Lille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 79.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 790 times – profiting $537.20;
• And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$327.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Young Boys x Lille

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Young Boys
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Young Boys x Lille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Young Boys and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Young Boys.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Young Boys x Lille

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.