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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Angers x Brest Betting tips for January 5 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 05 January 2025, 14h00 France Ligue 1
Angers Angers
PREDICTION Brest Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Brest Brest
ODD: @2.32 Don't miss this prediction!

Angers x Brest Betting tips for January 5 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Angers x Brest, Sunday, 5/1/2025
📅 5/1/2025
14:00
Angers Angers
3.09
X
3.21
Brest Brest
2.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Angers x Brest:

🔮 Brest wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brest, you can win up to $1160.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Angers x Brest:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-380.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Brest, Angers scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Angers matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Angers conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Angers x Brest for the France Ligue 1 – 5 of January

🏟️ Angers X Brest – France Ligue 1
📅 5 of January, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Angers – Winning probability: 22.18% | Fair line: 4.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.93% | Fair line: 3.86
🔴 Brest – Winning probability: 51.89% | Fair line: 1.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Angers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Angers x Brest right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1242039 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Angers x Brest

Should you bet on Angers?

🔵 Angers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $459.80;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$320.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $574.60;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$165.40.

Is betting on Brest worth it?

🔴 Brest: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $686.40
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$206.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Angers x Brest

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Angers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Angers x Brest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Angers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Angers.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Brest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Angers x Brest

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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