Angers x Lille Betting tips for February 22 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Angers x Lille, Sunday, 22/2/2026

📅 22/2/2026 16:15

Angers 4.40

X 3.45

Lille 1.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Angers x Lille:

🔮 Angers wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Angers, you can win up to $2200.00!

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Important information for your tip for Angers x Lille:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $320.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-360.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Angers scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Angers x Lille, with Angers as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for Angers vs Lille?

Lets analyze the match between Angers and Lille that will take place at Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers stadium, ensuring the home advantage for them. ⚽

📈 Table and morale analysis: Angers is going through a tough phase in Ligue 1, occupying mid-table positions (10th-11th) with recent negative results (3 losses in 4 games). Lille is better positioned, in 5th place, with a more consistent league performance. This gives Lille a psychological and motivational edge to seek victory away from home.

📰 Team news: Angers has been suffering recent defeats and lost key players like Cherif to Fenerbahçe. On the other hand, Lille has a more solid squad with regular players like Arnaud Bodart in goal and Gaëtan Perrin in attack. Despite the recent Europa League loss, their overall performance is superior to Angers.

Statistical analysis:

• Angers (home team): Average goals scored per game: 2; conceded: 1; favorable shots: 7; shots against: 12;
• Lille (away team): Average goals scored per game: 0; conceded: 1; favorable shots: 13; shots against: 7;

We see that although Angers scores more goals on average at home recently, they suffer many opponent shots (12), indicating defensive fragility. Lille creates many more offensive chances even playing away (13 shots), but struggles to convert these into goals.

Normalized fair odds calculation:

• Converted median odds averages:
  • P(Angers win) = 1/4.4 ≈ 0.2273
  • P(Draw) = 1/3.47 ≈ 0.2882
  • P

Total sum without adjustment ≈ 1.071
Normalized adjusted probabilities:
P(Angers win) ≈ 0.2273 / 1.071 ≈ 21%
P(Draw) ≈ 26%
P

Qualitative odds analysis:
Considering Angers defensive fragility even at home and Lilles higher offensive consistency despite low chance conversion,
I would estimate the fair odds as follows:
– Angers win between @4 and @5
– Draw close to @3
– Lille win between @1.8 and @2

Expected value analysis from Bets Kenya model:

• The suggested high-value bet is the home win with a positive EV above +40%, which is surprising given Angers unfavorable recent form.
• Draw (-32%) or away win (-8%) bets do not show positive expected value.

However, my analysis disagrees with this strong home victory valuation given by the automatic modeling.
The recent poor history of Angers combined with Lilles superior offensive strength and better league position indicate that betting on the away team carries less risk.
The ideal bet would be a moderate value near the current odds for the away win (~@2), as there is tactical balance but a clear advantage for the away team at this moment.

Conclusion 🎯:
Despite the high odds for home wins (@4+), the data show that this option does not have real value due to the recent poor form of the hosts.
My suggestion is to bet moderately on Lilles victory (@~2), as they have greater technical/moral consistency this season.
Avoid bets on draws or angular wins here!

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Angers x Lille?

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Analysis from Angers x Lille for the France Ligue 1 – 22 of February

Latest news on Angers x Lille

Angers: Angers has been going through a tough period in Ligue 1, losing three points in four matches and ranking between 10th and 11th place on the table; they were defeated 1-0 by Toulouse on February 8, 2026, suffered a 2-0 loss against Lorient on February 15, 2026, and previously fell 2-1 to Le Havre on January 4, 2026, while their most recent league position after the loss to Lorient placed them at 11th. The club was also linked to 19-year-old Guinean forward Cherif, who was on Angers radar before completing a €22 million transfer to Turkish team Fenerbahçe.

Lille: Lilles recent form shows a mixed picture: in Ligue 1, the club drew 1-1 with Brest on February 14, with Gaëtan Perrin scoring Lilles goal, and the team is in fifth place in the French top division with a record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, along with a goal difference of +4. In European competition, Lilles streak of 19 consecutive scoring games was broken when Red Star Belgrade won 1-0 on February 19, in the first leg of the Europa League knockout stage at Pierre-Mauroy, where goalkeeper Berke Ozer kept a clean sheet and made a crucial save on a late Red Star chance; this loss extends Lilles streak of six consecutive eliminations in the Europa League knockout rounds. The squad features goalkeeper Arnaud Bodart as the most used player this season, while key players like Aïssa Mandi, Nabil Bentaleb, and Gaëtan Perrin continue to play regularly.

Table analysis for the game between Angers and Lille

Angers: With the team in 11th place and accumulating 29 points, Angers is in a comfortable position, but distant from European spots and without imminent relegation risk. The match against Lille offers a good chance to earn important points and seek an improvement in the standings, but the game is not decisive for larger objectives in this final stretch of Ligue 1.

Lille: Currently in 5th place with 34 points, right in the UEFA Europa League qualification zone, Lille has a lot of motivation in this game to maintain or even advance in the international qualification spots. A victory is important to secure their position at the top of the table and stay in contact with teams competing for Champions League qualification.

Summary: The match is especially relevant for Lille, which aims to keep its position in the continental competitions zone. For Angers, the game has less weight in terms of major objectives, but can still help improve their campaign for the season. Therefore, the duel is important for one team and of moderate importance for the other.

How the handicap and odds moved for Angers x Lille

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Angers x Lille.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Angers x Lille

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Angers x Lille right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1483644 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is betting on Angers worth it?

🔵 Angers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $1088.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$408.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $514.50;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$275.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lille?

🔴 Lille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $376.00;
• And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$154.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Angers x Lille

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Angers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Angers x Lille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Angers, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Angers.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Angers.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Angers x Lille

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Angers x Lille