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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Angers x Lyon Betting tips for December 7 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 07 December 2024, 20h00 France Ligue 1
Angers Angers
PREDICTION Lyon Wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Lyon Lyon
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

Angers x Lyon Betting tips for December 7 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Angers x Lyon, Saturday, 7/12/2024
📅 7/12/2024
20:00
Angers Angers
4.50
X
4.05
Lyon Lyon
1.68

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Angers x Lyon:

🔮 Lyon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $840.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Angers x Lyon:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-122.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Angers scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Angers matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Angers conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lyon conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Lyon has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Angers x Lyon?

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Analysis from Angers x Lyon for the France Ligue 1 – 7 of December

🏟️ Angers X Lyon – France Ligue 1
📅 7 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Angers – Winning probability: 6.69% | Fair line: 14.95
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.61% | Fair line: 8.61
🔴 Lyon – Winning probability: 81.70% | Fair line: 1.22
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Angers
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Angers x Lyon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1233239 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Angers x Lyon

Is it a good idea to bet on Angers?

🔵 Angers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $245.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$685.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $366.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$514.00.

Should you bet on Lyon?

🔴 Lyon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $557.60;
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$377.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Angers x Lyon

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Angers
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Angers x Lyon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Angers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Angers.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Lyon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Angers x Lyon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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