Angers x PSG Betting tips for November 9 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Angers x PSG, Saturday, 9/11/2024

📅 9/11/2024 20:00

Angers 10.00

X 6.18

PSG 1.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Angers x PSG:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $625.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Angers x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-135.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Angers scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Angers conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Angers conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against PSG. 👉 PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 away matches, it had at least 65.00% of possession. 👉 Even as a visitor, PSG won the last 5 head-to-head matches Angers´s territory

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Analysis from Angers x PSG for the France Ligue 1 – 9 of November

When the best bet on Angers x PSG is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218440 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Angers x PSG

Is betting on Angers worth it?

🔵 Angers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 10.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $90.00;
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$900.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $259.00;
• And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$691.00.

Should you bet on PSG?

🔴 PSG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 94.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 940 times – profiting $235.00;
• And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$175.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Angers x PSG

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Angers
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Angers x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 Angers, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.75 Angers.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Angers x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.