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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Auxerre x Angers Betting tips for November 24 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Auxerre Auxerre
PREDICTION Angers Wins Probability 24% 1 X 2
Angers Angers
ODD: @3.73 Don't miss this prediction!

Auxerre x Angers Betting tips for November 24 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Auxerre x Angers, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
16:00
Auxerre Auxerre
1.91
X
3.68
Angers Angers
3.73

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Auxerre x Angers:

🔮 Angers wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Angers, you can win up to $1865.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Auxerre x Angers:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $695.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $700.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Auxerre scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Angers scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Angers matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Auxerre matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Auxerre is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Angers has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Auxerre x Angers for the France Ligue 1 – 24 of November

🏟️ Auxerre X Angers – France Ligue 1
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Auxerre – Winning probability: 53.73% | Fair line: 1.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.40% | Fair line: 4.67
🔴 Angers – Winning probability: 24.87% | Fair line: 4.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Auxerre x Angers is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Auxerre x Angers

Is it worth betting on Auxerre?

🔵 Auxerre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $491.40
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$31.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $562.80;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$227.20.

Should you bet on Angers?

🔴 Angers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $682.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$67.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Auxerre x Angers

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Auxerre x Angers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Auxerre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Auxerre.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Angers.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Auxerre x Angers

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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