Auxerre x Lille Betting tips for December 14 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 14/12/2025 16:15 |
 Auxerre4.35 |
X 3.70 |
Lille  1.76 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Auxerre x Lille:
🔮 Lille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille, you can win up to $880.00!
The main points for the tip for Auxerre x Lille:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
👉 In the last 7 Lille matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Lille received red cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
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Analysis from Auxerre x Lille for the France Ligue 1 – 14 of December
🏟️ Auxerre X Lille – France Ligue 1
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 16:15
🔵 Auxerre – Winning probability: 9.88% | Fair line: 10.12
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.15% | Fair line: 7.61
🔴 Lille – Winning probability: 76.97% | Fair line: 1.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Auxerre and Lille.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452043 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
The latest news about Auxerre x Lille
Auxerre: AJ Auxerre, managed by coach Christophe Pélissier and playing at home at Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps, is in 18th position in Ligue 1 as of mid-December 2025, following a recent 1-1 draw against Paris FC, and is looking to escape the relegation zone with a key match against Lille on December 14, 2025. This seasons squad includes forwards like Josué Casimir, Sékou Mara, Danny Namaso, and Lassine Sinayoko, midfielders Elisha Owusu and Tidiane Devernois, as well as defenders such as Gideon Mensah, Sinaly Diomande, and Marvin Senaya. The club is also competing in the French Cup with a team that features these core players and a mix of young talents. The teams recent form shows few points gained in the last ten games, highlighting the urgency to improve results to avoid relegation.
Lille: Lille recently suffered a 2-1 home defeat, marked by a fan displaying a misogynistic banner, prompting the club to announce sanctions. The team also lost top scorer Hamza Igamane due to a groin injury that may keep him out for a long period. Despite this setback, the team has been strengthening with a good run of four wins in five games — including a tactical 1-0 victory over Marseille — thanks partly to the impact of Ethan Mbappé and the development of young Ayyoub Bouaddi, who renewed his contract until 2029, rejected an offer from PSG, and attracted interest from Chelsea, Arsenal, and other major European clubs, with potential offers exceeding €50 million. Lilles next Ligue 1 match will be against Auxerre on December 14, 2025, as they seek to recover after a 0-1 loss to Young Boys in the Europa League.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Auxerre x Lille
Is betting on Auxerre worth it?
🔵 Auxerre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $335.00
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$565.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $351.00;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$519.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Lille?
🔴 Lille: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $585.20;
- And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$355.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Auxerre x Lille
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Auxerre x Lille
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Auxerre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Auxerre.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Auxerre x Lille
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
