Auxerre x Lyon Betting tips for April 13 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Auxerre x Lyon, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 18:45

Auxerre 3.45

X 3.75

Lyon 1.98

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Auxerre x Lyon:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Auxerre x Lyon

Some important points for the tip for Auxerre x Lyon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $270.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $202.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Lyon is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.

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Analysis from Auxerre x Lyon for the France Ligue 1 – 13 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Auxerre and Lyon.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302187 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Auxerre x Lyon

Is betting on Auxerre worth it?

🔵 Auxerre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $637.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$103.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $605.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it worth betting on Lyon?

🔴 Lyon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $509.60;
• And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$29.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Auxerre x Lyon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Auxerre x Lyon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Auxerre and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Auxerre.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Auxerre x Lyon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.