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Home Β» Predictions Β» France Ligue 1 Β» Auxerre x Rennes Betting tips for November 3 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Auxerre Auxerre
PREDICTION No tip
Rennes Rennes
Don't miss this prediction!

Auxerre x Rennes Betting tips for November 3 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Auxerre x Rennes, Sunday, 3/11/2024
πŸ“… 3/11/2024
16:00
Auxerre Auxerre
3.22
X
3.50
Rennes Rennes
2.12

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Auxerre x Rennes:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Auxerre x Rennes

The main points for the tip for Auxerre x Rennes:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $532.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Rennes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Auxerre matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Rennes conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Auxerre x Rennes for the France Ligue 1 – 3 of November

🏟️ Auxerre X Rennes – France Ligue 1
πŸ“… 3 of November, 2024 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Auxerre – Winning probability: 27.88% | Fair line: 3.59
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.24% | Fair line: 3.67
πŸ”΄ Rennes – Winning probability: 44.88% | Fair line: 2.23
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Auxerre x Rennes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214487 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Auxerre x Rennes

Is it a good idea to bet on Auxerre?

πŸ”΅ Auxerre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $621.60;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$98.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $675.00
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$55.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rennes?

πŸ”΄ Rennes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$46.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Auxerre x Rennes

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Auxerre x Rennes

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Auxerre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Auxerre.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Auxerre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Auxerre x Rennes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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