Brest x Auxerre Betting tips for January 4 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Brest x Auxerre, Sunday, 4/1/2026

📅 4/1/2026 16:15

Brest 1.91

X 3.35

Auxerre 4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Brest x Auxerre:

🔮 Brest wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brest, you can win up to $955.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Brest x Auxerre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Auxerre, Brest scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Auxerre conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Brest has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Auxerre playing at home.

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Analysis from Brest x Auxerre for the France Ligue 1 – 4 of January

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brest x Auxerre

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brest x Auxerre right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1457948 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Should you bet on Brest?

🔵 Brest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 600 times – profiting $546.00;
• And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$146.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $564.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$196.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Auxerre?

🔴 Auxerre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $512.00;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$328.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brest x Auxerre

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brest x Auxerre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Brest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Brest.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Brest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brest x Auxerre

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.