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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Brest x Le Havre Betting tips for October 6 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 06 October 2024, 12h00 France Ligue 1
Brest Brest
PREDICTION Brest wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Le Havre Le Havre
ODD: @1.77 Don't miss this prediction!

Brest x Le Havre Betting tips for October 6 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Brest x Le Havre, Sunday, 6/10/2024
📅 6/10/2024
12:00
Brest Brest
1.77
X
3.60
Le Havre Le Havre
4.55

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Brest x Le Havre:

🔮 Brest wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brest, you can win up to $885.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Brest x Le Havre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $118.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Le Havre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Brest scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Le Havre, Brest scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Brest x Le Havre, with Brest as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Brest is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Brest has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Le Havre playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Brest x Le Havre?

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Analysis from Brest x Le Havre for the France Ligue 1 – 6 of October

🏟️ Brest X Le Havre – France Ligue 1
📅 6 of October, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Brest – Winning probability: 61.28% | Fair line: 1.63
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.33% | Fair line: 4.69
🔴 Le Havre – Winning probability: 17.39% | Fair line: 5.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brest and Le Havre.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1195226 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brest x Le Havre

Is betting on Brest worth it?

🔵 Brest: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.77. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $469.70
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$79.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is betting on Le Havre worth it?

🔴 Le Havre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $603.50
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$226.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Brest x Le Havre

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brest x Le Havre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Brest and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Brest. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brest x Le Havre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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