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Home Β» Predictions Β» France Ligue 1 Β» Brest x Nantes Betting tips for December 15 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Brest Brest
PREDICTION No tip
Nantes Nantes
Don't miss this prediction!

Brest x Nantes Betting tips for December 15 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Brest x Nantes, Sunday, 15/12/2024
πŸ“… 15/12/2024
16:00
Brest Brest
1.95
X
3.40
Nantes Nantes
4.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Brest x Nantes:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Brest x Nantes

The main points for the tip for Brest x Nantes:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $148.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nantes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nantes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Brest x Nantes, with Brest as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Nantes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Brest has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Nantes playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Brest x Nantes for the France Ligue 1 – 15 of December

🏟️ Brest X Nantes – France Ligue 1
πŸ“… 15 of December, 2024 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Brest – Winning probability: 49.43% | Fair line: 2.02
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.20% | Fair line: 4.13
πŸ”΄ Nantes – Winning probability: 26.37% | Fair line: 3.79
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Brest x Nantes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1236762 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brest x Nantes

Is it worth betting on Brest?

πŸ”΅ Brest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $465.50;
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$44.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $576.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$184.00.

Should you bet on Nantes?

πŸ”΄ Nantes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $780.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$40.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Brest x Nantes

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brest x Nantes

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Brest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Brest.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Nantes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brest x Nantes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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