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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Brest x Nice Betting tips for November 2 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 18h00 France Ligue 1
Brest Brest
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Nice Nice
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Brest x Nice Betting tips for November 2 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Brest x Nice, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
18:00
Brest Brest
2.50
X
3.20
Nice Nice
2.87

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Brest x Nice:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

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The main points for the tip for Brest x Nice:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $115.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Brest scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Brest matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nice conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Brest x Nice for the France Ligue 1 – 2 of November

🏟️ Brest X Nice – France Ligue 1
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Brest – Winning probability: 37.57% | Fair line: 2.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.93% | Fair line: 2.78
🔴 Nice – Winning probability: 26.50% | Fair line: 3.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brest x Nice right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213551 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brest x Nice

Is it a good idea to bet on Brest?

🔵 Brest: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $570.00;
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$50.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $792.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$152.00.

Should you bet on Nice?

🔴 Nice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $504.90
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Brest x Nice

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brest x Nice

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Brest and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Brest.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Brest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brest x Nice

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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