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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Brest x Strasbourg Betting tips for November 30 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 18h00 France Ligue 1
Brest Brest
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Strasbourg Strasbourg
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Brest x Strasbourg Betting tips for November 30 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Brest x Strasbourg, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
18:00
Brest Brest
2.05
X
3.50
Strasbourg Strasbourg
3.44

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Brest x Strasbourg:

🔮 Brest wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brest, you can win up to $1025.00!

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Brest x Strasbourg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Strasbourg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 Brest matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Brest x Strasbourg, with Brest as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Brest conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Strasbourg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Brest conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Strasbourg.
👉 It is not a good time for Strasbourg as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Brest x Strasbourg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Brest x Strasbourg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Brest x Strasbourg for the France Ligue 1 – 30 of November

🏟️ Brest X Strasbourg – France Ligue 1
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Brest – Winning probability: 48.81% | Fair line: 2.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.17% | Fair line: 3.11
🔴 Strasbourg – Winning probability: 19.02% | Fair line: 5.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brest and Strasbourg.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brest x Strasbourg

Should you bet on Brest?

🔵 Brest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $514.50
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$4.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $800.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is it worth betting on Strasbourg?

🔴 Strasbourg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $463.60;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$346.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Brest x Strasbourg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brest x Strasbourg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Brest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Brest.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Strasbourg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brest x Strasbourg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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