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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Le Havre x Auxerre Betting tips for September 1 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 01 September 2024, 12h00 France Ligue 1
Le Havre Le Havre
PREDICTION Auxerre Wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Auxerre Auxerre
ODD: @2.79 Don't miss this prediction!

Le Havre x Auxerre Betting tips for September 1 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Le Havre x Auxerre, Sunday, 1/9/2024
📅 1/9/2024
12:00
Le Havre Le Havre
2.47
X
3.20
Auxerre Auxerre
2.79

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Le Havre x Auxerre:

🔮 Auxerre wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Auxerre, you can win up to $1395.00!

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The main points for the tip for Le Havre x Auxerre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Auxerre, Le Havre scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Le Havre matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Auxerre conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Le Havre x Auxerre for the France Ligue 1 – 1 of September

🏟️ Le Havre X Auxerre – France Ligue 1
📅 1 of September, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Le Havre – Winning probability: 25.54% | Fair line: 3.92
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.90% | Fair line: 4.18
🔴 Auxerre – Winning probability: 50.56% | Fair line: 1.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Le Havre x Auxerre right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1171332 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Le Havre x Auxerre

Is it worth betting on Le Havre?

🔵 Le Havre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $382.20
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$357.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$232.00.

Should you bet on Auxerre?

🔴 Auxerre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – profiting $912.90;
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$422.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Le Havre x Auxerre

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Le Havre x Auxerre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Le Havre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Le Havre.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Auxerre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Le Havre x Auxerre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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