Le Havre x Lyon Betting tips for October 20 in France Ligue 1
📅 20/10/2024 13:00 |
Le Havre 3.38 |
X 3.49 |
Lyon 2.08 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Le Havre x Lyon:
🔮 Lyon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $1040.00!
The main points for the tip for Le Havre x Lyon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $35.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Le Havre x Lyon?
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Analysis from Le Havre x Lyon for the France Ligue 1 – 20 of October
🏟️ Le Havre X Lyon – France Ligue 1 |
When the best bet on Le Havre x Lyon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1204480 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Le Havre x Lyon
Is it a good idea to bet on Le Havre?
🔵 Le Havre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $523.60
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $448.20;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$371.80.
Is betting on Lyon worth it?
🔴 Lyon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 600 times – profiting $648.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$248.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Le Havre x Lyon
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Le Havre x Lyon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Le Havre and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Le Havre.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Le Havre x Lyon
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.